Fifa International · resolved market
Chris Wood: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1474310caf4b083f33be5e085e56dbcfe8cf0636b515b9d10608b6ce174bfc57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 511.11$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 509.8$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.05 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…04d4backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 23c | 409.45$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Yes | 25c | 359.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 24c | 311.59$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 76c | 251$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked No | 75c | 220.88$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 75c | 157$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…442abacked Yes | 23c | 144.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb4…481dbacked Yes | 25c | 136$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 76c | 126.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed No | 76c | 110.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 77c | 100.39$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…74d6backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 73c | 84.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 73c | 80.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 74c | 79.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb280…341dbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…beedbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 75c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 76c | 37.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chris Wood: 1+ goalsthis page
- Ali Alipour: 3+ goalsNo won
- Alireza Jahanbakhsh: 3+ goalsNo won
- Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh: 3+ goalsNo won
- Chris Wood: 3+ goalsNo won
- Eli Just: 2+ goalsYes won
- Mehdi Taremi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mehdi Taremi: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.