Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Yexin Ma vs Erika Andreeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8b177d1e8b1255224c30773b47163d0a0b982811443a9c0aa32f71497d51231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Erika Andreevaof Yexin Ma, Erika Andreeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Yexin Ma | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Erika Andreeva | 78c | 957.79$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.86 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yexin Ma | 32c | 866.07$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yexin Ma | 6c | 651.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…51fabacked Yexin Ma | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 220 | 20%44 W · 176 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Yexin Ma | 32c | 360$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yexin Ma | 4c | 291.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Yexin Ma | 6c | 268.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Yexin Ma | 20c | 205$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yexin Ma | 37c | 162.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yexin Ma | 8c | 133.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Erika Andreeva | 80c | 120.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Yexin Ma | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 31.6%54 W · 117 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Erika Andreeva | 63c | 95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Yexin Ma | 34c | 77.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 444 | 52.5%233 W · 211 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…a47fbacked Erika Andreeva | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Erika Andreeva | 78c | 46.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Yexin Ma | 32c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…35dfbacked Yexin Ma | 36c | 39.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yexin Ma | 36c | 30.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Erika Andreeva | 63c | 19.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Erika Andreeva | 64c | 17.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.