TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Oliver Tarvet vs Alex Bolt

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oliver Tarvetof Oliver Tarvet, Alex Bolt
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc53c…b769backed Oliver Tarvet51c50,000$25,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,499.972157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Oliver Tarvet54c19,097$10,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,703.388,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0537…e9dcbacked Alex Bolt4c12,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014246.5%66 W · 76 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alex Bolt49c6,893$3,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,402.2511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Oliver Tarvet49c6,081$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,080.9422056.4%124 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Alex Bolt49c5,181$2,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,533.954,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Oliver Tarvet40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0004936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Bolt49c4,678$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,302.186,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Alex Bolt22c3,612$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.5231736.9%117 W · 200 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Alex Bolt38c2,455$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.954,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Oliver Tarvet48c2,358$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.6311646.6%54 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Oliver Tarvet50c1,993$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.7140748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd231…633cbacked Alex Bolt21c1,905$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Alex Bolt45c1,780$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80070041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Oliver Tarvet67c1,560$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.913,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Oliver Tarvet78c1,131$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.563,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcd…0320backed Alex Bolt21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004141.5%17 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Alex Bolt23c855.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.781,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Alex Bolt52c810.98$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.7187251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Alex Bolt52c630.86$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9728048.9%137 W · 143 L-14.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Alex Bolt60c597.66$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.1649658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alex Bolt47c576.54$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.98,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Alex Bolt60c501$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2153657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Alex Bolt60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30044552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Alex Bolt60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30043054.9%236 W · 194 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Alex Bolt60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30047857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Alex Bolt60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30052355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Alex Bolt60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30046155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Alex Bolt60c485.94$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5651457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Alex Bolt59c471.45$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.2446957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked Alex Bolt56c446.42$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011963.9%76 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Alex Bolt21c414.29$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8715039.3%59 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Alex Bolt29c404.19$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.99,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Alex Bolt50c401.12$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.264,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Alex Bolt49c400.88$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.822,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Oliver Tarvet52c392.56$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.431,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Alex Bolt23c391.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011637.1%43 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…9565backed Alex Bolt27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011143.2%48 W · 63 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Oliver Tarvet52c314.98$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.641,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Alex Bolt60c310$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18647651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Oliver Tarvet52c297.4$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.7560651.8%314 W · 292 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Oliver Tarvet52c257.06$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3960446.7%282 W · 322 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Alex Bolt11c254.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.721,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Alex Bolt22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Oliver Tarvet48c219.77$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.281,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Alex Bolt53c200.97$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5225349%124 W · 129 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ac6…e020backed Oliver Tarvet48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10434761.1%212 W · 135 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Alex Bolt25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027528.4%78 W · 197 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Oliver Tarvet46c192.89$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.161,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Oliver Tarvet52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3178847.5%374 W · 414 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Alex Bolt25c187.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.989751.5%50 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Alex Bolt54c184.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Alex Bolt51c172.01$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.262,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Oliver Tarvet58c161.14$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9318430.4%56 W · 128 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa40…526dbacked Alex Bolt8c160$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.31811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-53.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Oliver Tarvet47c155.83$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.092,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Alex Bolt51c154.78$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5455032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…3cc1backed Oliver Tarvet48c139.11$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.112548%12 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Oliver Tarvet80c133.16$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.661,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f7…9385backed Oliver Tarvet51c131.37$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.375853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Oliver Tarvet77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8773458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x885a…efccbacked Oliver Tarvet79c126.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Oliver Tarvet52c124.04$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5419445.4%88 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Alex Bolt41c122.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.621,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Alex Bolt54c114.85$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.024,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Bolt39c109.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.928,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb05e…599abacked Oliver Tarvet47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8bb…7cefbacked Alex Bolt33c105$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.836743.6%160 W · 207 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Alex Bolt53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.583447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Alex Bolt52c96.78$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.522,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Alex Bolt21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015229.6%45 W · 107 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Alex Bolt54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Oliver Tarvet52c92.46$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3876853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Alex Bolt55c92.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4416549.7%82 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Alex Bolt35c91.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.311,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bb…a47fbacked Alex Bolt55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506767.2%45 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa894…2830backed Alex Bolt51c86.4$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.31060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Alex Bolt33c76.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.826,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Oliver Tarvet46c73.63$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.762,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b4c…d6a2backed Alex Bolt32c73.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.564124.4%10 W · 31 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Oliver Tarvet49c68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0243750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Alex Bolt26c67.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.367655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Oliver Tarvet51c63.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.334,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Oliver Tarvet77c61.26$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.094,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Oliver Tarvet52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6930055.7%167 W · 133 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2846…267fbacked Alex Bolt63c53.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.055356.6%30 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Oliver Tarvet52c53.46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6629851%152 W · 146 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Oliver Tarvet47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1914841.9%62 W · 86 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Oliver Tarvet66c52.58$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.132,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Alex Bolt52c52.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.252,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Oliver Tarvet52c52.19$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0511947.9%57 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0afb…0b12backed Alex Bolt48c51.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.559043.3%39 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Alex Bolt53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.557449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Oliver Tarvet46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2767848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Oliver Tarvet55c49.83$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.671,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Oliver Tarvet73c48.02$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1580341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Oliver Tarvet52c47.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6861752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Oliver Tarvet80c45.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.193,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Alex Bolt32c44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9911337.2%42 W · 71 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0be…e6c2backed Alex Bolt54c41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.144247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.