Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Greet Minnen vs Fiona Ferro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x660131c8fd6645eb7874d0c52a71906728e8e07acce3ba14de65cab90c64bb75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Greet Minnenof Greet Minnen, Fiona Ferro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Greet Minnen | 79c | 3,442$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.17 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Fiona Ferro | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Fiona Ferro | 9c | 1,333$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Fiona Ferro | 23c | 1,000$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.05 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Fiona Ferro | 23c | 958.79$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Greet Minnen | 77c | 843.87$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.09 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Fiona Ferro | 9c | 783.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…5d04backed Fiona Ferro | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Fiona Ferro | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e2…3eb0backed Fiona Ferro | 20c | 534$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -7.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…1aafbacked Fiona Ferro | 24c | 316.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Fiona Ferro | 7c | 169.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Fiona Ferro | 8c | 166.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Fiona Ferro | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…a47fbacked Greet Minnen | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Fiona Ferro | 24c | 102.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Fiona Ferro | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Fiona Ferro | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -16.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Fiona Ferro | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Fiona Ferro | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Fiona Ferro | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Fiona Ferro | 21c | 85.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Fiona Ferro | 22c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Fiona Ferro | 22c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a77…573abacked Fiona Ferro | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Greet Minnen | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.