Fifa International · resolved market
Türkiye to score first vs. Paraguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55b91e4174e8ce5420d41eb7474f19a08a6e0141b1893fc76cb3b356a96a367d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5038…6236backed No | 42c | 11,952$5,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,905.43 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 57c | 10,966$6,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,283.81 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…57e7backed Yes | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.98 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 3,720$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 43c | 2,227$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.44 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 43c | 2,070$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.34 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 42c | 1,727$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.06 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 42c | 1,654$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.83 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 43c | 999.92$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.96 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 42c | 990.47$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.47 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 43c | 872.63$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.38 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 43c | 814$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.98 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 57c | 400.66$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.38 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked No | 43c | 321.42$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.21 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd789…128fbacked Yes | 57c | 244.74$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 44c | 234.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.08 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…0e1cbacked Yes | 58c | 172.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…5645backed Yes | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…5a88backed Yes | 58c | 137.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed No | 43c | 132.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.46 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a20…709abacked Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…ddccbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 11c | 96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7390…30a3backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69d…7678backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9966…a9b0backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 43c | 83.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked No | 46c | 69.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 56c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…a1ebbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 43c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked No | 44c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510b…2feabacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…24b1backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…b87fbacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked No | 48c | 41.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…a47fbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7507…fab1backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38a9…572fbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…6c35backed Yes | 58c | 32.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…b662backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…b0a1backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 52c | 24.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…7d49backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 65c | 17.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Türkiye to score first vs. Paraguay?this page
- Paraguay to score first vs. Türkiye?Yes won
- Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.