Fifa International · resolved market
Son Heungmin: 3+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea16e0dfd7e9f0abd9a8c6369ed53e2f299960fe14db123552af11a1b760b66a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4362…9e47backed Yes | 62c | 1,669$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 24c | 654.14$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.15 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 45c | 579.27$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.99 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 55c | 486.9$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed No | 44c | 413.02$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.31 | 185 | 50.3%93 W · 92 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Yes | 56c | 266.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 58c | 129.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…5a88backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 43c | 66.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 44c | 49.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 44c | 47.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…a47fbacked Yes | 55c | 36.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e1…f309backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…63c7backed Yes | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Son Heungmin: 3+ shotsthis page
- Alexis Vega: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 3+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 3+ shotsNo won
- Lee Kangin: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shotsNo won
- Roberto Alvarado: 1+ assistsNo won
- Santiago Giménez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Son Heungmin: 1+ assistsNo won
- Son Heungmin: 1+ goalsNo won
- Son Heungmin: 2+ goalsNo won
- Son Heungmin: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.