Fifa International · resolved market
Son Heungmin: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe579928970bc4c2b1f579c0f5ca0d278613d9a9a1c09d3ab7fb19678921cff0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4362…9e47backed Yes | 28c | 6,163$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 72c | 5,346$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.2 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 72c | 3,995$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.47 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 73c | 2,725$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.94 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1695…324cbacked Yes | 28c | 2,500$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.84 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Yes | 26c | 1,442$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.95 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed No | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 74c | 1,170$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.2 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,022$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.18 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 73c | 504.99$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.35 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 27c | 485.19$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 27c | 463.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.26 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…55e5backed No | 72c | 456.51$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 70c | 358.14$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…a34cbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…fefcbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 73c | 335$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 68c | 316.6$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x975e…f875backed No | 71c | 261$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 207.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe042…2498backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20fe…5f55backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…db6dbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…9cedbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…48abbacked Yes | 28c | 177.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…cf56backed Yes | 27c | 166.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 135 | 30.4%41 W · 94 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…4cf8backed Yes | 30c | 130.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…d351backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 30c | 101.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…201cbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb843…eac8backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | +20.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…0ec5backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 69c | 83.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 70c | 79.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf68f…3211backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db1…d2bebacked Yes | 29c | 70.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1acd…53f3backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…753abacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…ed8dbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…62d0backed Yes | 27c | 54.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…791bbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bc…f621backed Yes | 43c | 43.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…3621backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fc…c9adbacked Yes | 28c | 37.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Yes | 27c | 36.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 580 | 29.5%171 W · 409 L | -19.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 72c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 78c | 27.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 70c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 60c | 16.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Son Heungmin: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexis Vega: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Brian Gutiérrez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 3+ goalsNo won
- Julián Quiñones: 3+ shotsNo won
- Lee Kangin: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Raúl Jiménez: 3+ shotsNo won
- Roberto Alvarado: 1+ assistsNo won
- Santiago Giménez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Son Heungmin: 1+ assistsNo won
- Son Heungmin: 2+ goalsNo won
- Son Heungmin: 3+ goalsNo won
- Son Heungmin: 3+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.