Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa77cd7e4107d456f4d54c2275aec690765b2a63db457ee8c43318793bb63d207

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $10,017
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $10,321

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,017 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5452…d448backed No	65c	2,564$1,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$897.31	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Yes	34c	2,500$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$842.93	109	31.2%34 W · 75 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed No	66c	2,000$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.99	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	+8.3wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes	35c	1,714$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	179	44.1%79 W · 100 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	65c	1,193$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.69	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	69c	1,075$737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.79	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes	34c	1,020$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.86	79	43%34 W · 45 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa458…24dfbacked Yes	35c	878.26$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.39	67	28.4%19 W · 48 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd35b…4a53backed Yes	36c	750$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.51	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No	64c	500.25$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.09	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed No	67c	499.98$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.99	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No	64c	379.56$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.64	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No	67c	360.48$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.96	222	26.6%59 W · 163 L	-15.6wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x292a…e42fbacked Yes	35c	200.17$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.06	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ee…4e60backed Yes	33c	196.97$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	73	30.1%22 W · 51 L	+5.8wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4a0…b85dbacked Yes	23c	182.96$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	36c	156$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.03	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	33c	118$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.83	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes	22c	113.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	163	41.1%67 W · 96 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5b…ffbabacked Yes	34c	102.94$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	68c	99.99$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ebe…17b9backed No	77c	80$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.1	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	64c	69.83$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.95	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No	66c	67.38$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.91	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	66c	60.98$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.84	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Yes	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	212	50.9%108 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Yes	33c	57.58$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	323	12.1%39 W · 284 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	143	51.7%74 W · 69 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa766…5a59backed Yes	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	155	52.9%82 W · 73 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9429…fd87backed Yes	34c	44.12$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5f…e751backed Yes	36c	41.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+70.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd2f…4270backed Yes	36c	33.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No	66c	29.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.2	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed No	66c	29.29$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.05	208	60.6%126 W · 82 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No	64c	26.76$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.64	333	50.5%168 W · 165 L	+24.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c8d…4f5cbacked No	67c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.25	104	52.9%55 W · 49 L	+5.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa10…065abacked No	65c	24.38$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.49	96	54.2%52 W · 44 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event