Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf5edd27ea40b32f4319bae6c6e9f453e0944d2a04543623bff29351b70a88f9

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $7,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,858 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9c76…c926backed No	72c	2,864$2,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.5	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed No	73c	2,291$1,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$618.49	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	+8.3wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Yes	27c	2,000$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.29	109	31.2%34 W · 75 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes	28c	1,607$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	179	44.1%79 W · 100 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes	27c	1,022$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.05	79	43%34 W · 45 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	73c	999.96$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$269.99	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No	72c	551.26$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.35	403	43.7%176 W · 227 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes	28c	482.14$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	107	34.6%37 W · 70 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95a6…b568backed Yes	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No	73c	341.99$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.34	222	26.6%59 W · 163 L	-15.6wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae05…7635backed Yes	27c	259.26$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes	27c	240.74$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	551	53%292 W · 259 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ee…6547backed Yes	28c	185.5$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	372	23.9%89 W · 283 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeacb…4a8ebacked Yes	27c	140.74$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked Yes	27c	111.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	98	58.2%57 W · 41 L	+8.3wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+17%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	70c	108.29$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.59	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No	70c	103.33$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No	73c	99.99$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	288	73.3%211 W · 77 L	+21.7wins	+0.08per pick	66cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x751c…39f9backed Yes	30c	83.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Yes	27c	74.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	212	50.9%108 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	72c	72.14$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.2	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x606e…1fa6backed Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b78…95ddbacked Yes	27c	55.56$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9429…fd87backed Yes	28c	53.96$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcffc…0f81backed Yes	28c	53.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5f…e751backed Yes	28c	53.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+70.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1b2…6269backed Yes	29c	47.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No	72c	40$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.2	172	71.5%123 W · 49 L	+12.8wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	72c	37$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.21	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No	78c	32$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.95	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Yes	36c	30.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	323	12.1%39 W · 284 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	74c	29.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ca…4419backed No	73c	27.39$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	81	70.4%57 W · 24 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	75cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	71c	25$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.25	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	74c	24.11$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.25	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No	74c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.2	373	48.3%180 W · 193 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed No	72c	16.07$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.5	126	53.2%67 W · 59 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb1e…e4efbacked No	75c	15.2$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.8	11	100%11 W · 0 L	+3.4wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+46.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e94…776bbacked No	75c	13.88$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.47	87	42.5%37 W · 50 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event