Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe731715ee9c17658f87f9ff584f6cb6cba474b5580e142e7e229ea42d6e28332
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 6,173$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.52 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 20c | 4,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 20c | 1,562$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.48 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 21c | 1,532$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.66 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Over | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 20c | 516.69$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…8e3fbacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…dcf6backed Over | 80c | 491.71$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…1d6fbacked Over | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed23…7996backed Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 264 | 55.3%146 W · 118 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…3555backed Over | 80c | 250.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…2a9ebacked Over | 79c | 227.84$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…4143backed Under | 10c | 199.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…e9c4backed Over | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Over | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Over | 80c | 175$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…96cabacked Over | 80c | 156.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…c058backed Over | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Over | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3080backed Over | 79c | 135.78$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…e766backed Over | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…6a54backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 15c | 118.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a1…de0fbacked Over | 80c | 106.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 79c | 94.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…a47fbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf076…4079backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…4e49backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcd…a07bbacked Over | 79c | 62.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…08a6backed Under | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 252 | 21.4%54 W · 198 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 19c | 54.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…7dc5backed Over | 78c | 50.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651e…cfb4backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e3…b82ebacked Over | 80c | 46.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7907…910dbacked Over | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 80c | 30.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 77c | 30.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb59…6ca3backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…d3b2backed Over | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f1…9e40backed Over | 79c | 24.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…99f0backed Over | 79c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a5…8e27backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…88eabacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersthis page
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: Team to Take First CornerCroatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.