Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4735be73c9d2951d4363a16fc8c74ed55ac6f90ebe6e73dcb5b7c9b674b13ebc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 69c | 7,739$5,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.16 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 31c | 4,500$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 32c | 3,224$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.34 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 32c | 2,465$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.88 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 32c | 1,695$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.47 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Over | 67c | 1,479$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.35 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 72c | 1,269$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 69c | 1,031$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.61 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 32c | 845.36$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.89 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 20c | 823.53$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.85 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 34c | 703.14$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.14 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 20c | 512.19$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 29c | 483.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 474.79$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…f868backed Over | 68c | 439.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 34c | 376.39$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 68c | 350$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d9…cc54backed Over | 78c | 309.98$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 32c | 307.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 264 | 55.3%146 W · 118 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…1d6fbacked Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…4143backed Under | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 69c | 169.59$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 51 | 80.4%41 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Under | 18c | 163.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 69c | 146.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 22c | 131$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under | 20c | 121.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…bf19backed Over | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 68c | 112.5$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e67…e745backed Over | 66c | 112.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75be…3bbabacked Over | 66c | 103.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 69c | 100.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 111 | 70.3%78 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da1…1399backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 68c | 98.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 13c | 94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…3038backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…19ffbacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 33c | 63.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcd…a07bbacked Over | 67c | 53.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Over | 80c | 52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…9d7dbacked Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 31c | 39.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…5805backed Over | 67c | 33.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 67c | 32.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a8…60ebbacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba33…4dddbacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…8275backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 133 | 64.7%86 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5f…b8efbacked Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed Over | 69c | 15.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersthis page
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: Team to Take First CornerCroatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.