Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98cf8c6262be7deed4f8fea4a7dbc4b88c37f763ab345f9b8194b7d6cd74c4f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 44c | 1,130$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 39c | 898.5$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.41 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…aebebacked Over | 61c | 577.77$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.33 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d54…6022backed Under | 40c | 358.89$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.56 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +14.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6f…1765backed Over | 62c | 350$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 61c | 294.51$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 38c | 275.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 40c | 275$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 55c | 235.34$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.74 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 55c | 227$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Over | 61c | 202.11$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 39c | 200.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 60c | 190$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 58c | 172.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…728fbacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 41c | 111.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 38c | 109.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 119 | 63%75 W · 44 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Over | 56c | 106.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over | 57c | 105.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0422…ae21backed Over | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0e…c22fbacked Over | 61c | 59.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…ea72backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfc…ab38backed Over | 59c | 45.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 31c | 44.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 53c | 41.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Over | 52c | 38.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77b8…0650backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 40c | 31.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…bf19backed Over | 63c | 31.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 57c | 28.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Over | 60c | 17.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: England O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- England vs. Croatia: Team to Take First CornerCroatia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.