TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,158 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xecaa…77a9backed Over67c2,019$1,345 inLost-$1,344.931152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under33c2,004$669 inWon+$1,334.5933555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over65c853.55$552 inLost-$552.2989443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under37c389.99$145 inWon+$245.133,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under35c384.64$135 inWon+$249.942,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under35c366.98$128 inWon+$238.632,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Over61c222.58$136 inLost-$136.3422466.1%148 W · 76 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over59c137.14$81 inLost-$80.911,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ec…a74cbacked Over65c110.69$72 inLost-$71.951241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa231…57e1backed Over65c100$65 inLost-$651936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6110…5d2ebacked Over61c85.25$52 inLost-$5218340.4%74 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb980…73b0backed Under41c84.93$35 inWon+$50.113860.5%23 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+39.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under35c80$28 inWon+$521,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbada…d874backed Under41c66.54$27 inWon+$39.269455.3%52 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Under39c59.98$23 inWon+$36.5917737.9%67 W · 110 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over60c43$26 inLost-$25.7419040.5%77 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under35c42.26$15 inWon+$27.533,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…dd97backed Over65c30.77$20 inLost-$206448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ce…af44backed Over66c30.22$20 inLost-$204973.5%36 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under37c30$11 inWon+$191,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under40c30$12 inWon+$181,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x377a…e576backed Over68c29.46$20 inLost-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over64c25.65$16 inLost-$16.438,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d0…d20bbacked Over63c23.68$15 inLost-$151154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed Over66c17.64$12 inLost-$11.6414953.7%80 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.