Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Celine Naef vs Joanna Garland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4638ef5b4c5ed6dcd221b421ff76e06bb8b93b6436ddf2ed54fad8380026572
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joanna Garlandof Celine Naef, Joanna Garland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Joanna Garland | 45c | 2,543$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.92 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8623…34a6backed Celine Naef | 7c | 1,514$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Celine Naef | 60c | 1,469$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.28 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Celine Naef | 47c | 1,280$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.7 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Joanna Garland | 30c | 1,250$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.59 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Celine Naef | 4c | 1,246$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Celine Naef | 1c | 1,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Celine Naef | 1c | 1,067$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e2…3eb0backed Joanna Garland | 10c | 1,066$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.24 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -7.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Joanna Garland | 41c | 1,008$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.66 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Celine Naef | 52c | 978.75$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.05 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Celine Naef | 5c | 850$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Celine Naef | 1c | 799.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Joanna Garland | 73c | 699.45$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…d537backed Celine Naef | 62c | 565.46$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…5d04backed Joanna Garland | 30c | 563.33$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.33 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Joanna Garland | 22c | 316.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.45 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Joanna Garland | 44c | 227.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.79 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Joanna Garland | 28c | 211.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.81 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Celine Naef | 12c | 210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Joanna Garland | 38c | 201$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.87 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Joanna Garland | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.23 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Celine Naef | 53c | 184.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…4f5fbacked Joanna Garland | 27c | 181.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.83 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Joanna Garland | 31c | 160$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed Joanna Garland | 38c | 153.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Joanna Garland | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Celine Naef | 54c | 146.04$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -16.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…a47fbacked Celine Naef | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Celine Naef | 69c | 136.02$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Joanna Garland | 32c | 129$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Celine Naef | 70c | 121.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Celine Naef | 50c | 103.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Joanna Garland | 43c | 100.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Celine Naef | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…6fa3backed Joanna Garland | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Celine Naef | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Joanna Garland | 29c | 99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Joanna Garland | 24c | 95.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Celine Naef | 63c | 95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Joanna Garland | 35c | 92.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Joanna Garland | 45c | 91.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Joanna Garland | 77c | 90.01$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Celine Naef | 57c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Joanna Garland | 39c | 77.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Joanna Garland | 61c | 76.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Celine Naef | 44c | 73.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Joanna Garland | 47c | 72.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Joanna Garland | 31c | 70.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Joanna Garland | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Joanna Garland | 30c | 67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Celine Naef | 50c | 56.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Joanna Garland | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Joanna Garland | 37c | 53.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Celine Naef | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Joanna Garland | 27c | 50.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Celine Naef | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Celine Naef | 59c | 44.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Celine Naef | 34c | 44.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Joanna Garland | 31c | 44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Celine Naef | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Joanna Garland | 47c | 29.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86f…6e5abacked Celine Naef | 74c | 26.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Celine Naef | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Celine Naef | 78c | 15.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Celine Naef | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Joanna Garland | 78c | 14.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Joanna Garland | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.