Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Masamichi Imamura
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecec42f54ab50300f0b9e27d41d7f744f642c8dc68d1f20f6c288ed557d8264e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jake Delaneyof Jake Delaney, Masamichi Imamura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Masamichi Imamura | 40c | 816.74$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.19 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Masamichi Imamura | 11c | 521.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Jake Delaney | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Jake Delaney | 65c | 153.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…2b0dbacked Jake Delaney | 41c | 122.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Jake Delaney | 79c | 102.44$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Masamichi Imamura | 17c | 90.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Jake Delaney | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Masamichi Imamura | 14c | 78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Masamichi Imamura | 16c | 66.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dd…2f33backed Masamichi Imamura | 43c | 54.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c92…4e7cbacked Masamichi Imamura | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Masamichi Imamura | 61c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Jake Delaney | 58c | 34.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Jake Delaney | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Masamichi Imamura | 62c | 32.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jake Delaney | 59c | 31.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jake Delaney | 59c | 29.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Jake Delaney | 59c | 27.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Jake Delaney | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Jake Delaney | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Jake Delaney | 61c | 17.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.