WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 176.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x665cdd64e5fea0b1a8b89ed3fb1d17dc829f7cc74b59c6a1d7260af0be04def2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 1,858$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.54 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 48c | 1,128$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 958$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.74 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 48c | 912$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.24 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 39c | 554.49$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.14 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 9c | 500$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 49c | 323.29$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 4c | 297.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.12 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 52c | 230.97$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 47c | 163.49$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 45c | 151.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 56c | 127.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Under | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 48c | 72.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Under | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…5978backed Under | 57c | 22.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 53c | 19.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 176.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Portland FireNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 175.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 177.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.