WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x266618ca51d209fbca2b25ffddcd4f7836c332b4c03085493eeb789c7f9baf8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof New York Liberty, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked PortlandFire | 53c | 10,690$5,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,707.91 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed New York Liberty | 49c | 9,217$4,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,709.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Liberty | 47c | 5,425$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.87 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PortlandFire | 44c | 3,351$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.23 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed PortlandFire | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed New York Liberty | 49c | 2,898$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.95 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed New York Liberty | 50c | 2,350$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.09 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed New York Liberty | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed New York Liberty | 55c | 1,825$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.01 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire | 47c | 1,779$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.61 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed PortlandFire | 53c | 1,679$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 1,450$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed PortlandFire | 51c | 1,441$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.91 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 1,146$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed PortlandFire | 51c | 1,140$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.13 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed New York Liberty | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a2…b5b7backed PortlandFire | 51c | 1,096$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed PortlandFire | 53c | 1,048$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.71 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Liberty | 67c | 1,010$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.55 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed PortlandFire | 50c | 1,009$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Liberty | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed PortlandFire | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 980$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed New York Liberty | 51c | 938.22$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.73 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 935.31$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.36 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed New York Liberty | 47c | 933.31$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed PortlandFire | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed PortlandFire | 49c | 729.87$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.64 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed New York Liberty | 49c | 712.49$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…8ea0backed PortlandFire | 52c | 699.8$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.89 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked PortlandFire | 51c | 676.94$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed PortlandFire | 51c | 647.06$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 632.96$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.4 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +11.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…9805backed New York Liberty | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked PortlandFire | 26c | 574.42$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…0e51backed PortlandFire | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed PortlandFire | 39c | 443$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed PortlandFire | 26c | 429.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 408$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked PortlandFire | 45c | 399.24$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.66 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed PortlandFire | 49c | 361.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.38 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed PortlandFire | 50c | 355.23$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.31 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked PortlandFire | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed PortlandFire | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed New York Liberty | 78c | 302.08$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked PortlandFire | 23c | 298.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked New York Liberty | 72c | 294$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed PortlandFire | 59c | 287.45$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e8…3c36backed PortlandFire | 50c | 262.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed New York Liberty | 48c | 206.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed PortlandFire | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed PortlandFire | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked New York Liberty | 55c | 179.24$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed PortlandFire | 35c | 129.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed New York Liberty | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6128…b3e7backed New York Liberty | 49c | 102.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 99.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed PortlandFire | 51c | 87.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed PortlandFire | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed PortlandFire | 33c | 85.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed New York Liberty | 48c | 62.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed New York Liberty | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed PortlandFire | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.48per pick | 60cpaid | -82%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…71cebacked New York Liberty | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed PortlandFire | 50c | 48.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed PortlandFire | 51c | 48.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed New York Liberty | 47c | 46.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed New York Liberty | 51c | 44.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed New York Liberty | 49c | 41.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked New York Liberty | 66c | 39.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked PortlandFire | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Liberty | 79c | 37.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed PortlandFire | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed PortlandFire | 51c | 29.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked PortlandFire | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 28.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed PortlandFire | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed New York Liberty | 47c | 25.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed New York Liberty | 61c | 23.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4771…b432backed PortlandFire | 52c | 23.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…f36ebacked PortlandFire | 59c | 23.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New York Liberty | 79c | 23.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed New York Liberty | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…add5backed PortlandFire | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…c5aebacked New York Liberty | 51c | 21.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed New York Liberty | 79c | 21.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae40…9edabacked New York Liberty | 51c | 21.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked New York Liberty | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93dd…2f33backed New York Liberty | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed PortlandFire | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed New York Liberty | 75c | 19.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed New York Liberty | 60c | 19.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Portland FireNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 175.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 177.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.