WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77424ac7e63e6d22ad585d9fa34240be301de490647591e186544f50d72c4536
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 3,198$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.42 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Under | 53c | 2,786$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 48c | 530$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.14 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 5c | 323.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 25c | 255$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.2 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…35f8backed Over | 48c | 207.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…7db3backed Under | 53c | 192$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 51c | 95.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 20c | 90.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 50c | 77.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 51c | 76.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 49.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 47c | 47.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 52c | 41.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 55c | 38.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f3…5308backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Over | 48c | 30.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Over | 54c | 27.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…0614backed Over | 58c | 25.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 50c | 25.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 73c | 20.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 175.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Portland FireNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 174.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. PortlandFire: O/U 177.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.