Other European Leagues · resolved market
IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9705d0cbe0200ea769fd381fa9df78cc72baa5919768c6df94cb4a77afc877e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 64c | 185,967$118,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,389.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 36c | 131,924$47,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,431.45 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 20,914$8,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,341.46 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Over | 38c | 13,158$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,157.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 49c | 3,484$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.21 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 49c | 3,111$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.99 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 46c | 2,828$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.93 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 35c | 1,793$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.01 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under | 63c | 1,541$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 48c | 1,500$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 59c | 1,357$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 1,144$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.25 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 987.76$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Under | 47c | 855.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 52c | 791.89$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.67 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 44c | 780.19$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.49 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Under | 72c | 329.17$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 61c | 294.88$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.41 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Under | 46c | 230$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 47c | 209.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.42 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 153$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb9…23f0backed Over | 57c | 148.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 12c | 143.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 56c | 124.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 50c | 120.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Under | 44c | 114.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 46c | 112$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 28c | 111.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.11 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 55c | 110$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…0de6backed Under | 57c | 87.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 28c | 80.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…59a0backed Under | 65c | 78.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Under | 74c | 77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…4800backed Under | 69c | 72.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 36c | 69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Under | 52c | 64.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…7576backed Under | 65c | 64.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 69c | 61.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +57%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9068…0e97backed Under | 49c | 55.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 28c | 50.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 41c | 49.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 53c | 48.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Under | 50c | 47.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 70c | 45.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x484b…59f4backed Over | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…f703backed Under | 62c | 31.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 71c | 26.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 70c | 20.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 61c | 17.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 4.5this page
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: IFK Goteborg O/U 2.5Under won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: IK Sirius O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 2.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 3.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-1.5)IK Sirius won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)IK Sirius won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-2.5)IK Sirius won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.