Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: IK Sirius (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d4711c7189e6ee48048a0c08740e6f8dbdfd1807cdff989e8ec46eb5d5662fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- IK Siriusof IK Sirius, IFK Goteborg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed IFK Goteborg | 74c | 1,002$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.14 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed IK Sirius | 27c | 756.88$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.88 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed IK Sirius | 16c | 433.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.93 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked IK Sirius | 15c | 279.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.9 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked IK Sirius | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed IK Sirius | 24c | 189.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.92 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed IK Sirius | 25c | 154.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.32 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed IK Sirius | 24c | 120$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed IFK Goteborg | 74c | 105.56$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed IFK Goteborg | 76c | 104.26$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed IFK Goteborg | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed IFK Goteborg | 51c | 97.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed IK Sirius | 25c | 94.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked IFK Goteborg | 72c | 94.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked IK Sirius | 26c | 82.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked IFK Goteborg | 74c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed IK Sirius | 26c | 75.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed IFK Goteborg | 77c | 64.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked IFK Goteborg | 74c | 55.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked IFK Goteborg | 76c | 43.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked IK Sirius | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked IK Sirius | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed IFK Goteborg | 76c | 24.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed IFK Goteborg | 75c | 24.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed IFK Goteborg | 74c | 20.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed IFK Goteborg | 77c | 19.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked IFK Goteborg | 76c | 16.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed IFK Goteborg | 77c | 15.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed IFK Goteborg | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: IK Sirius (-2.5)this page
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: IFK Goteborg O/U 2.5Under won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: IK Sirius O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 2.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 3.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 4.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-1.5)IK Sirius won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)IK Sirius won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.