Other European Leagues · resolved market
IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9702035349248cff879b564c05a585f6733339a6b2b1b4e38bfdd3bbc06c549e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 2,695$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.42 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 894.88$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.78 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 67c | 789.79$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.55 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 770.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.55 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 750.65$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.82 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 49c | 431.75$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.56 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 29c | 300.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 5c | 239.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 79c | 207.46$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 53c | 176.34$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 171.02$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 48c | 162.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 26c | 156.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 52c | 149.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…2857backed Under | 14c | 143$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Over | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Under | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Under | 51c | 78.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 65c | 52.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 48c | 38.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…03cebacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 65c | 27.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 27.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 50c | 20.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 50c | 20.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +183.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b31…15c7backed Over | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 3.5this page
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: IFK Goteborg O/U 2.5Under won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: IK Sirius O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 2.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 4.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-1.5)IK Sirius won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)IK Sirius won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-2.5)IK Sirius won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.