Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc74f730136a1359d1aa4e05a266cbd624c6466c088ef87ee86e0ef88baeac072
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- IK Siriusof IK Sirius, IFK Goteborg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed IK Sirius | 44c | 15,525$6,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,693.92 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed IFK Goteborg | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.93 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked IFK Goteborg | 56c | 5,900$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed IK Sirius | 44c | 3,114$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.24 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed IFK Goteborg | 56c | 2,504$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.02 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked IFK Goteborg | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked IK Sirius | 44c | 2,397$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.17 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed IFK Goteborg | 56c | 2,359$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.19 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed IK Sirius | 44c | 2,275$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.9 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed IFK Goteborg | 56c | 1,832$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.9 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked IFK Goteborg | 57c | 1,140$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.8 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed IK Sirius | 44c | 1,050$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.25 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed IFK Goteborg | 55c | 909$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed IFK Goteborg | 56c | 895.52$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.4 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed IK Sirius | 44c | 662.48$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.99 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed IFK Goteborg | 56c | 512.93$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.24 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38bd…b8f3backed IK Sirius | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked IFK Goteborg | 55c | 440.54$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.3 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed IK Sirius | 43c | 418.02$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.32 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed IFK Goteborg | 58c | 349.92$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.95 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed IK Sirius | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…977bbacked IK Sirius | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed IFK Goteborg | 56c | 263.53$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked IK Sirius | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked IFK Goteborg | 56c | 184.4$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.26 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed IK Sirius | 43c | 180$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked IK Sirius | 44c | 159.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed IK Sirius | 44c | 129.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed IK Sirius | 44c | 109.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked IK Sirius | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed IK Sirius | 46c | 102.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed IK Sirius | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…f5c0backed IFK Goteborg | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed IFK Goteborg | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed IK Sirius | 42c | 58.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed IK Sirius | 43c | 53.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed IK Sirius | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked IK Sirius | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed IFK Goteborg | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed IK Sirius | 44c | 44.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked IK Sirius | 44c | 39.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed IK Sirius | 44c | 38.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked IK Sirius | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked IFK Goteborg | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6458…2a3bbacked IK Sirius | 44c | 32.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed IFK Goteborg | 56c | 31.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4b…0a04backed IFK Goteborg | 57c | 28.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed IFK Goteborg | 41c | 28.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed IK Sirius | 44c | 26.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked IFK Goteborg | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed IFK Goteborg | 57c | 18.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)this page
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: IFK Goteborg O/U 2.5Under won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: IK Sirius O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 2.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 3.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 4.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-1.5)IK Sirius won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-2.5)IK Sirius won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.