MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe334d832e5667fd19a4b69c55632745fbccd94e1d6b371bda77ce95908aea213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof San Francisco Giants, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $335,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 77,176$49,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,783.37 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 48,558$17,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,173.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…c219backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 34,558$11,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,749.7 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 20,649$13,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,929.19 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…889bbacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 19,826$7,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,137.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 11,687$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,037.47 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 11,150$7,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,790.95 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 11,025$7,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741.75 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 10,551$6,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.34 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 10,406$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.99 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 8,552$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.11 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 8,122$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.91 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 5,998$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.85 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 5,925$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.82 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Francisco Giants | 2c | 3,295$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 2,517$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 2,267$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.46 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked San Francisco Giants | 9c | 2,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 1,959$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.7 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 1,723$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.05 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked San Francisco Giants | 8c | 1,571$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.69 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 1,543$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 1,537$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.35 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed San Francisco Giants | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 1,445$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.15 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 1,393$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.49 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 1,289$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.26 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed San Francisco Giants | 11c | 1,221$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 1,085$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.6 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 1,024$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.16 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 1,021$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.15 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 1,007$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.66 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed San Francisco Giants | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 999.97$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.61 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 999$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.66 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 888$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 729.18$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.92 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed San Francisco Giants | 10c | 719.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…5076backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 649.69$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed San Francisco Giants | 34c | 563.08$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.69 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 561.64$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.19 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…f25abacked San Francisco Giants | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 447.22$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 436.33$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.33 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 435$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…774abacked San Francisco Giants | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 414.1$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.08 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 395$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed San Francisco Giants | 23c | 393.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.41 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 392.66$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 27c | 392$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 383.38$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 343.37$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed San Francisco Giants | 19c | 330$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 325.84$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 325.5$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 325$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.62 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 307.35$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 7c | 294$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 290.28$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…80a7backed Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 289.17$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 8c | 286.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed San Francisco Giants | 27c | 284.25$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Cleveland Guardians | 77c | 279.53$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.71 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 276$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…e51dbacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 271.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…ff8cbacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 270.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…dffdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 247.18$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 245.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 230$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked San Francisco Giants | 27c | 222.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 210.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 210$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 205$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 203.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07b…6ee4backed San Francisco Giants | 19c | 201.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…e71abacked San Francisco Giants | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…9525backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 196.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc91d…6416backed San Francisco Giants | 14c | 192.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 191.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked San Francisco Giants | 36c | 190$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 190$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6c…a2c3backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 177.64$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 172$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 168.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.