MLB · resolved market
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaedd85ff15a32bdd9f11736678176398609888f9db599f31934194c2754fad5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 76,766$35,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,552.19 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 14,943$7,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,921.45 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed San Francisco Giants | 36c | 13,963$5,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,024.73 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 10,564$5,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,614.85 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 9,717$5,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,337.68 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 3,748$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.38 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 2,738$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.33 | 475 | 52%247 W · 228 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 2,144$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.79 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 2,036$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.97 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 2,003$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.89 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 1,978$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.12 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 1,528$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 1,077$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.83 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…1fbebacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 765.96$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.96 | 350 | 56%196 W · 154 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 706$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.62 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 642.88$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.17 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 622$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.88 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 499.97$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 27c | 450.08$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 392.85$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.14 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 348.58$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.23 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 305.54$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.05 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 257.29$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 484 | 45.9%222 W · 262 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 235.04$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 214.35$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.89 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked San Francisco Giants | 56c | 208$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 282 | 45.7%129 W · 153 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 190.56$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 671 | 52.5%352 W · 319 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…c3cabacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 181.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 170.45$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed San Francisco Giants | 53c | 129$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 122.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 121$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 366 | 50.8%186 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 100.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 838 | 54.7%458 W · 380 L | +29.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 616 | 46.4%286 W · 330 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 96.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 92.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 87.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 81.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 390 | 49%191 W · 199 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 73.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 18c | 69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 68.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…3728backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 62.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 61.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 195 | 49.2%96 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 61.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked San Francisco Giants | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 572 | 44.6%255 W · 317 L | -35.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 336 | 49.1%165 W · 171 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 666 | 48.2%321 W · 345 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 57.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +12.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d0…681ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked San Francisco Giants | 43c | 42.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 40.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 35.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 31.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 30.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 25.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 23.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 22.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 19.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 19.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 18.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)this page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.