MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f3c8df200f2cd7fbb268f03a06a31360cfd82f63ce053e341d223a6370f79ee

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $202,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $202,377

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,161 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Over	43c	182,369$78,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78,418.59	436	47%205 W · 231 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	57c	70,589$40,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,444.91	11,356	52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L	+209.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	57c	44,417$25,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,100.48	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under	57c	24,330$13,868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,462.38	1,851	53.1%982 W · 869 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	57c	17,443$9,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,500.49	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under	57c	8,900$5,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,827.66	1,291	51%658 W · 633 L	-15.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over	44c	5,487$2,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,414.2	390	47.4%185 W · 205 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	57c	3,886$2,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,670.77	4,477	48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L	-47.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Under	56c	3,747$2,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,648.64	469	49%230 W · 239 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under	57c	2,866$1,633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,232.23	127	59.1%75 W · 52 L	+9.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Under	57c	2,102$1,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$903.86	273	48%131 W · 142 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	57c	1,960$1,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$842.8	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under	53c	1,663$885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$777.33	360	48.6%175 W · 185 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	44c	1,526$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.3	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	55c	1,511$837 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$674.24	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	52c	1,010$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$485.27	680	53.2%362 W · 318 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	57c	1,004$572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.84	403	41.4%167 W · 236 L	-20.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dd2…14c2backed Over	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	57c	950.66$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.78	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb357…a4aebacked Under	52c	939.88$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.88	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+23%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	57c	921$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.03	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	56c	907.12$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.79	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	56c	896.2$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.33	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under	57c	828.93$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.44	252	48.8%123 W · 129 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over	48c	811.46$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.5	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under	57c	808.82$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.79	478	52.3%250 W · 228 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8606…db26backed Under	54c	806.65$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.06	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Over	10c	615.36$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.8	272	44.9%122 W · 150 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	46c	535.43$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.83	1,206	53.7%648 W · 558 L	+29.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under	57c	434.81$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.97	215	47%101 W · 114 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	46c	356.64$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.55	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over	46c	342$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.22	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	56c	313.97$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.15	958	50%479 W · 479 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over	48c	306.39$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.54	655	49.3%323 W · 332 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	59c	242$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.7	475	45.9%218 W · 257 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Under	56c	219.11$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.93	175	48%84 W · 91 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over	6c	212.45$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1,173	29%340 W · 833 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over	46c	197.6$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.91	583	52.1%304 W · 279 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	53c	197$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.19	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Under	57c	175.45$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	285	53%151 W · 134 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf92a…80a7backed Under	38c	167.48$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.74	56	66.1%37 W · 19 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Over	44c	150$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	506	47%238 W · 268 L	-21.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	48c	146.35$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.55	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under	57c	144.66$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.77	1,245	56.9%708 W · 537 L	+31.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Over	46c	140$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.4	303	40.6%123 W · 180 L	-16.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbe3…6599backed Under	57c	127.18$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.69	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under	57c	122.81$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.81	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1d…a01abacked Under	57c	122.81$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.81	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	44c	110$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.2	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	48c	108.49$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.32	2,944	47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L	+4.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	994	47.3%470 W · 524 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	541	46.8%253 W · 288 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x018e…c536backed Under	57c	100$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under	49c	97.84$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.9	779	52.1%406 W · 373 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	46c	91.85$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.25	1,911	53.1%1,014 W · 897 L	+43.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under	49c	91.59$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.71	473	46.5%220 W · 253 L	+25.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+13%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Under	69c	90.6$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.42	464	44.4%206 W · 258 L	-18.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	1,195	50%597 W · 598 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf236…2e36backed Over	33c	85.51$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.62	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-3.2wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under	57c	80$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.4	92	59.8%55 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Over	46c	80$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	55c	78$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.1	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3618…b2b2backed Under	57c	68.93$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.64	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-7.0wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Over	47c	66.04$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.99	341	49.3%168 W · 173 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa188…62eabacked Under	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	242	48.8%118 W · 124 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd4…de15backed Over	45c	57.5$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.78	171	60.8%104 W · 67 L	+11.2wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Over	44c	56.81$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Over	61c	55.58$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.15	400	48.5%194 W · 206 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under	57c	53.84$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.15	253	55.7%141 W · 112 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Over	45c	52.64$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.83	115	50.4%58 W · 57 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Over	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	264	44.3%117 W · 147 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under	63c	48.5$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.89	1,056	44.3%468 W · 588 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Under	52c	45$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.68	205	52.7%108 W · 97 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Under	57c	43.15$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.55	195	55.9%109 W · 86 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over	47c	35.76$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.71	881	47.8%421 W · 460 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under	57c	35.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	131	52.7%69 W · 62 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over	47c	33.94$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.07	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07b4…6855backed Over	51c	29.03$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	141	49.6%70 W · 71 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	60c	28.97$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.36	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under	55c	24.2$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.82	1,205	58.8%708 W · 497 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d0…c89bbacked Over	46c	23.37$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.65	110	37.3%41 W · 69 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under	57c	22.41$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.64	289	48.1%139 W · 150 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over	68c	20.62$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.02	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ce…feb1backed Over	50c	20.54$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.27	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-8.4wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x71bc…7fe4backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-2.7wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3f6…b228backed Under	57c	19.3$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.3	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under	53c	18.98$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.86	473	58.4%276 W · 197 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a4f…5ec9backed Under	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	52	67.3%35 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e4a…4efebacked Under	57c	18$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5this page
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians won
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)San Francisco Giants won
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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