MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaf119e4487b222ec10e7582be8bd33406582e1145c14c278e63782d4491297e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $488,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $437,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 90,931$54,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,370.04 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 87,805$36,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,926.88 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 87,111$48,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,361.13 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 62,491$29,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,389.29 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Texas Rangers | 19c | 21,818$4,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192.25 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 18,853$10,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,198.26 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 22c | 16,740$3,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,730.74 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 12,195$5,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,073.17 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 9,788$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.91 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 8,537$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,951.22 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 6,774$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358.67 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 25c | 6,286$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.03 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…7449backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 6,098$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 5,488$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.92 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Texas Rangers | 0c | 4,282$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.97 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…3535backed Texas Rangers | 1c | 3,987$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 3,238$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.26 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 2,778$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.15 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 2,716$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.82 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 2,168$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Texas Rangers | 1c | 2,075$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 2,032$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.28 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 2,006$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.24 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,968$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.91 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Texas Rangers | 60c | 1,834$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.15 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…4797backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +61%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.67 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,600$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.99 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Washington Nationals | 67c | 1,261$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.52 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 951.17$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.14 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 939.57$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.03 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…1b12backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 903.81$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.07 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 765$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.45 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 681.81$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.45 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 660.47$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.97 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Texas Rangers | 23c | 625$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.01 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 548.99$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.59 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 28c | 548.53$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.53 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Texas Rangers | 23c | 531.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 486.67$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.67 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 474$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.18 | 752 | 44%331 W · 421 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 444$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 439.74$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.55 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 437.74$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.36 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Washington Nationals | 75c | 397$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 394$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.83 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 391.4$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.27 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 391$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.05 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Texas Rangers | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 353.61$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Texas Rangers | 33c | 346.91$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 342$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.94 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 317.02$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.49 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 288$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.67 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Texas Rangers | 23c | 286.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 233.23$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 232.48$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…449abacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 231.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10c2…b137backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Texas Rangers | 15c | 216.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Texas Rangers | 32c | 215.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 215$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 389 | 56.8%221 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…774abacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 198.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 170.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.86 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 168.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.99 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 155.83$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7626…8f35backed Texas Rangers | 30c | 155$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 138$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1224…62fbbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 122.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x350f…7224backed Texas Rangers | 23c | 118.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 138 | 58.7%81 W · 57 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Texas Rangers | 14c | 112.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Texas Rangers | 13c | 112.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 110.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 110.67$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 105.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…c9f1backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Washington Nationals | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Texas Rangers | 18c | 93.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 89.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 88.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…b1c7backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 87.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Texas RangersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.