MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87f90729531cace86fb53e405c3757dda72a63d18c4699ca5604d14a58c8c3d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $636,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $620,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $636,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 158,383$73,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,246.06 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 39c | 67,424$26,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,351.58 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 59,016$36,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,516.8 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Houston Astros | 55c | 52,459$28,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,852.48 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros | 47c | 48,418$22,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,793.17 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Seattle Mariners | 73c | 35,568$25,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,576.03 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 31c | 25,128$7,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,883.33 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Houston Astros | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 18,425$7,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,544.97 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b5…2e6dbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 17,206$8,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,119.44 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 53c | 14,937$7,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,916.75 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Houston Astros | 54c | 13,457$7,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,266.92 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 10,495$6,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880.85 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…8c4bbacked Houston Astros | 30c | 10,005$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Houston Astros | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.98 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Houston Astros | 53c | 9,275$4,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,915.92 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Houston Astros | 34c | 9,262$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.82 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 28c | 8,996$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.44 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…da70backed Houston Astros | 38c | 7,105$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 34c | 6,913$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.36 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Houston Astros | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.98 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 5,738$3,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.33 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 4,098$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.36 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Houston Astros | 54c | 3,888$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.51 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked Houston Astros | 23c | 3,700$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.03 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 3,689$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.64 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…b2aebacked Houston Astros | 54c | 3,658$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.26 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 3,656$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.12 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 72c | 3,635$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.96 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Houston Astros | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 30c | 3,536$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.33 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 3,127$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Houston Astros | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 3,013$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.58 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…ff78backed Houston Astros | 33c | 2,872$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Houston Astros | 38c | 2,700$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Houston Astros | 28c | 2,620$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.83 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Seattle Mariners | 78c | 2,567$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.35 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…e82abacked Seattle Mariners | 78c | 2,564$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…22d2backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 1,885$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.07 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Houston Astros | 29c | 1,703$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 1,683$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.5 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 1,635$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.37 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…fd47backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 1,528$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.84 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Houston Astros | 26c | 1,500$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.5 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0be…540abacked Houston Astros | 45c | 1,487$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Seattle Mariners | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,428$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.1 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked Houston Astros | 38c | 1,325$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…6721backed Houston Astros | 36c | 1,081$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 1,081$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.7 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Seattle Mariners | 75c | 1,077$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.03 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,033$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.28 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,003$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.61 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Houston Astros | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 999.85$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.94 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Houston Astros | 32c | 976.6$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.77 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Houston Astros | 27c | 944$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.32 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 940$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Houston Astros | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Houston Astros | 54c | 914$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.56 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Houston Astros | 54c | 909.09$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.91 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Seattle Mariners | 77c | 881.69$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.98 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 868.95$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.2 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Houston Astros | 52c | 864.1$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.77 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 48c | 837.59$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.84 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 798.96$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.44 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Houston Astros | 31c | 797.68$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.28 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb6…6c47backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 789.88$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Seattle Mariners | 73c | 779$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.36 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Houston Astros | 26c | 750$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 717.9$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Houston Astros | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Houston Astros | 45c | 681.58$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.59 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 27c | 645.98$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.26 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…cc95backed Seattle Mariners | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 637.86$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.77 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Houston Astros | 49c | 601.59$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 592$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.06 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Houston Astros | 25c | 589.68$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f74…ccc5backed Houston Astros | 48c | 574.59$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Houston Astros | 17c | 562.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.66 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Houston Astros | 36c | 538.89$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Houston Astros | 37c | 534.93$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.15 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Houston Astros | 54c | 528.13$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.19 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 520.93$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.2 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Houston Astros | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Mariners | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 489.36$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.36 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6c…a2c3backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 459.57$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.57 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 458$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Houston Astros | 33c | 452.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.11 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 446.81$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Houston Astros | 13c | 445.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 432.45$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.15 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…80a7backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 425.22$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.39 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.