MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3575e1320649347c22d2892816e45b63bab10cbe2b4a2e350466086b4a3af972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 56c | 13,107$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,791.69 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 45c | 12,714$5,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,688.09 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Under | 51c | 9,803$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,802.94 | 238 | 54.6%130 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Over | 36c | 7,738$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.68 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 34c | 7,049$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.94 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 3,916$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.07 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 44c | 2,548$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.72 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 44c | 2,267$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.69 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 2,109$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.65 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 1,371$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.3 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0be…540abacked Under | 52c | 1,190$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 44c | 886.36$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 865.47$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.5 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 58c | 729$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.18 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 57c | 729$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.4 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 58c | 728.5$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.47 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 44c | 568$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 44c | 546.23$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.72 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 504.63$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.41 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 42c | 495.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.7 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 57c | 486$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.98 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 57c | 467$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 67c | 411.76$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 44c | 390$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 37c | 357$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 44c | 339$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.16 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 44c | 317.25$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.59 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 44c | 313.2$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 65c | 307.64$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.59 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 38c | 291.5$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.62 | 532 | 38.5%205 W · 327 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 43c | 272$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 455 | 45.7%208 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 42c | 213$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 44c | 188.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 30c | 166.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 476 | 46.8%223 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Under | 56c | 160.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Under | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 43c | 127.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 127$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 45c | 116$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 226 | 52.2%118 W · 108 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Under | 65c | 97.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 44c | 94.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 57c | 94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 44c | 86.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 55c | 81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db0…dcffbacked Under | 71c | 79.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 57c | 67.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 44c | 66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 64.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 42c | 57.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 43c | 52.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Under | 75c | 45.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Under | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 58c | 34.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 41c | 33.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 906 | 69.9%633 W · 273 L | +94.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd9…1159backed Under | 61c | 32.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 58c | 28.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Under | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 56c | 25.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 671 | 52.5%352 W · 319 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 57c | 25.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 50c | 24.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…b6c4backed Over | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 57c | 21.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 74c | 20.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 54c | 20.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosSeattle Mariners won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.