MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27d9788cbd8905bfc795b12401e0e6f8c4fa2e054652bfd01950f9678aa0f3f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $312,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 49c | 168,627$82,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,992.37 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,999.97 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…4a1dbacked Over | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 24,968$11,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,730.85 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 11,738$5,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,212.59 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked Under | 53c | 9,005$4,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,232.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 53c | 7,550$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Under | 53c | 6,320$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960.27 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 53c | 5,600$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Under | 59c | 4,840$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.91 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.66 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 49c | 3,979$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.25 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 3,843$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.59 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 46c | 3,835$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.48 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 2,252$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.61 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 52c | 1,841$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.76 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 1,628$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.72 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 1,545$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.09 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Over | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 1,228$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.63 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 24c | 1,201$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Over | 53c | 912.96$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.87 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 52c | 861$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.6 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 51c | 581.78$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.71 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 50c | 506.14$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.07 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 49c | 499.5$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.75 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 49c | 498.75$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.36 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 52c | 474.01$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.8 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 48c | 419.4$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.09 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 54c | 385.92$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.3 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 355$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.63 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 330.6$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 53c | 300$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca7…bf27backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7fd6backed Under | 58c | 278.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 35c | 259.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.63 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 48c | 252.04$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.04 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f5…c806backed Over | 49c | 247.76$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 52c | 225.1$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 48c | 223.75$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 48c | 208.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Over | 53c | 207.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 140 | 64.3%90 W · 50 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 51c | 192.22$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.19 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Over | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Over | 53c | 188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Over | 53c | 185.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…6b58backed Under | 53c | 173.48$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…8d08backed Under | 49c | 168.41$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.41 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 36c | 166.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 46c | 159.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…3805backed Over | 39c | 144.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 49c | 139.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 38c | 134$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 53c | 133$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Under | 49c | 130.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 52c | 114.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4e…d751backed Under | 48c | 112.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 108.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 107.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…0f92backed Under | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…437fbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b96…7e60backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 99.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 47c | 98.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 53c | 85.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 76.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 51c | 75.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 54c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 42c | 70.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Under | 55c | 62.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Over | 55c | 61.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 48c | 52.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 48.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 52c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 46.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 52c | 44.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 41.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9979…c5bdbacked Under | 49c | 35.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…c014backed Under | 49c | 35.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Over | 53c | 30.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…2e5bbacked Over | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Under | 53c | 30.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 52c | 30.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 51c | 28.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 49c | 26.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosSeattle Mariners won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.