MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6de759202dd9967b38283e400aad51f1aa32936035584dc9516ba2d22e9e2409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof St. Louis Cardinals, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 36,000$20,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,119.98 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 33,515$13,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,986.97 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 24,684$17,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,260.83 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 23,301$13,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,852.6 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 18,314$10,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,527.01 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 17,840$7,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,765.99 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…7a06backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 17,497$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 13,789$5,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,695.43 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 13,499$5,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,187.19 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 12,250$6,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,390 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 11,786$4,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.21 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 11,734$5,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,045.41 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.96 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 9,480$6,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,933.83 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 4c | 9,099$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.86 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed St. Louis Cardinals | 22c | 9,074$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.22 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 8,882$5,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,554.6 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 8,394$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.7 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 8,360$3,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,511.01 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 5,606$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.9 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 4,919$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.76 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 4,801$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 4,046$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.52 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 3,860$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.6 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 2,376$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.61 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…5e12backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 2,280$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 2,025$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.5 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,534$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 1,505$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.05 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 1,460$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.12 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…ae1ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 1,281$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,248$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.68 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 1,247$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.85 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 1,143$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.8 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,143$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.91 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…3535backed St. Louis Cardinals | 2c | 1,120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…8284backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 1,088$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 1,022$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.61 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 924$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.84 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 919.91$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 855$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 836$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 802.37$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.65 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 695.27$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.01 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 685.13$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.94 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 599.96$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.98 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 590.4$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.92 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 575.05$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.21 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 507.63$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.51 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 500$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 465.06$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.63 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 407.03$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.95 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 399.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 397$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.75 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a10…4bfabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 388.42$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 378.14$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 376$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.44 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 371.43$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.23 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 360$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.84 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 354.76$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f5…24adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…80a7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 339.04$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.67 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 329.79$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.56 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 14c | 321.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 320$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.42 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 315.17$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.94 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 311.6$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 310$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 308.64$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 304.07$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.13 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…ad73backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 302.7$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 12c | 295.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 278.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 256$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.76 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 243.65$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…0180backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 234.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 234$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 232.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 229.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 222.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 210$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b4…7e4abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed St. Louis Cardinals | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 188.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…9f1fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 185.53$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.02 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.