Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3f564ce08de3718a558d42b506ba80a1b40c9f136f7a4ba51530a6236be5bb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 7c | 5,715$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.69 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 1c | 4,101$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed Yes | 9c | 2,099$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.38 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…07e8backed Yes | 1c | 1,184$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked No | 66c | 677.97$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 23c | 577.16$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.89 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Yes | 24c | 477.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 64c | 429.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed No | 78c | 327.07$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 57c | 311.17$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.76 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 63c | 299.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 76c | 263$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf598…56f9backed Yes | 35c | 236.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 68c | 222.81$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 73c | 219.07$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…ead7backed Yes | 45c | 210.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 30c | 203.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 192.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…75b8backed No | 63c | 173.54$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 17c | 159.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…7e02backed No | 70c | 149.79$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 13c | 142.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc017…9f26backed Yes | 33c | 140.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e5…6412backed No | 70c | 136.81$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 21c | 133.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 8c | 131.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…4bcdbacked Yes | 34c | 124.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…1ad2backed Yes | 33c | 123.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…aae8backed Yes | 28c | 118.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 112.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 44c | 111.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 26c | 105.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 30c | 94.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 19c | 92.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 61c | 92.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 71c | 91.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 67c | 88.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceac…fa1fbacked No | 70c | 87.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 63c | 78.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 72c | 75.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d5…afecbacked Yes | 36c | 74.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 25c | 73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 74c | 71.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 63c | 67.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…9f9abacked Yes | 34c | 66.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561a…7be2backed Yes | 27c | 64.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…8ffebacked Yes | 26c | 64.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x704d…aceebacked No | 56c | 64.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 69c | 62.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…91d5backed Yes | 36c | 60.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 31c | 59.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…3068backed Yes | 31c | 58.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a2…e17dbacked Yes | 33c | 56.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3310…545dbacked Yes | 19c | 56.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…446fbacked Yes | 33c | 55.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked Yes | 19c | 55.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 69c | 50.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…b4b8backed Yes | 24c | 49.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 72c | 49.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 548 | 67.3%369 W · 179 L | +26.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 27c | 48.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked No | 69c | 48.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a05…d7b9backed Yes | 31c | 48.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed No | 61c | 47.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ba…f4febacked No | 71c | 46.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7284…b0f2backed Yes | 30c | 45.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 28c | 44.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f8…5274backed Yes | 34c | 42.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…45efbacked Yes | 33c | 41.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked Yes | 34c | 39.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 74c | 39.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…10b3backed Yes | 27c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…7217backed No | 70c | 38.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 68c | 37.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d22…245cbacked Yes | 29c | 37.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa65f…4329backed Yes | 32c | 37.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 78c | 37.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…aff0backed No | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…2623backed No | 68c | 36.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 76c | 35.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 72c | 34.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 63c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…7d65backed No | 79c | 28.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 62c | 28.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 67c | 28.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked No | 70c | 27.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46f…3cbcbacked No | 71c | 27.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…728cbacked No | 68c | 26.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed No | 74c | 26.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed No | 55c | 26.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 76c | 25.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3afa…da02backed No | 60c | 25.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 63c | 24.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 64c | 22.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.