Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9d0c9e355a0cb703698c0c36abc19b486232a9c89957ec306c782618480aa15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x100a…c6cebacked No | 1c | 7,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 255 | 4.3%11 W · 244 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 62c | 2,506$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.99 | 3,046 | 33.5%1,021 W · 2,025 L | +12.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 12c | 1,822$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.06 | 718 | 20.1%144 W · 574 L | -47.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed No | 33c | 1,224$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.48 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 38c | 991.27$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.12 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 71c | 849.69$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.32 | 356 | 29.8%106 W · 250 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed Yes | 65c | 648.4$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.23 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 2c | 553.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1,730 | 18%311 W · 1,419 L | +73.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7384…1ebdbacked No | 4c | 499.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…b978backed No | 19c | 445.32$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 20c | 402.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 4,505 | 19.6%882 W · 3,623 L | +47.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed No | 20c | 400$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 52c | 373.26$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.68 | 1,093 | 29.6%324 W · 769 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed No | 46c | 364.58$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.71 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed No | 5c | 276.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 76c | 262.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…75b8backed No | 49c | 252.92$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.11 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 46c | 251.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.42 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 227$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 2,655 | 47.3%1,257 W · 1,398 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 8c | 222.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 7,231 | 9.3%675 W · 6,556 L | -1,115.6wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 16c | 218.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 12,477 | 46.8%5,840 W · 6,637 L | -43.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 29c | 218.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.49 | 575 | 27.8%160 W · 415 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 74c | 214.51$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 917 | 40.2%369 W · 548 L | +112.7wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc017…9f26backed Yes | 22c | 210.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 44c | 203.31$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…2e48backed No | 50c | 186.23$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 19c | 170.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…07e8backed No | 26c | 170.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 24c | 144.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 1,005 | 51.8%521 W · 484 L | +108.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 76c | 136.48$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 61c | 135.65$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 3,050 | 40.5%1,235 W · 1,815 L | -121.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 39c | 131.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…b451backed Yes | 30c | 125.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…675dbacked Yes | 22c | 124.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…95f3backed Yes | 68c | 123.24$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x561a…7be2backed Yes | 24c | 121.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked No | 36c | 105.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 74c | 102.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 2,505 | 69.7%1,746 W · 759 L | +77.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 54c | 101.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 12,879 | 20.4%2,624 W · 10,255 L | -2,688.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…785ebacked Yes | 24c | 100.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 26c | 99.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.44 | 289 | 42.9%124 W · 165 L | +25.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 25c | 98.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 37c | 96.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 23c | 94.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 239 | 33.5%80 W · 159 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 29c | 92.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 68c | 92.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 52c | 83.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 59c | 80.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 24c | 77.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…cf86backed No | 45c | 67.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 21c | 67.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 24c | 65.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…8ffebacked Yes | 22c | 64.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…45efbacked Yes | 29c | 64.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 16c | 63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 77c | 61.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 62c | 58.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 1,406 | 30.9%435 W · 971 L | -93.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 22c | 57.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 5,542 | 47.8%2,649 W · 2,893 L | +81.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 74c | 56.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 23c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3310…545dbacked Yes | 19c | 55.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 73c | 54.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…cb41backed Yes | 36c | 52.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 47c | 50.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 142 | 31.7%45 W · 97 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba3…4e15backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,028 | 31.3%949 W · 2,079 L | +40.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 76c | 49.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 560 | 67.1%376 W · 184 L | +26.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402d…5c07backed No | 79c | 49.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 75c | 48.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ee…93abbacked No | 76c | 48.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 73c | 47.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc457…1675backed No | 24c | 43.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed Yes | 23c | 43.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…c9e1backed No | 37c | 39.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 78c | 38.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e37abacked No | 29c | 36.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed Yes | 79c | 32.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 75c | 31.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 76c | 27.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 77c | 27.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46f…3cbcbacked No | 74c | 26.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 74c | 26.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 76c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed No | 79c | 24.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked No | 79c | 24.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8e…435cbacked No | 76c | 23.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 76c | 22.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 76c | 22.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…4c3abacked No | 77c | 20.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 161 | 59%95 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3fc9backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2427…52a2backed No | 74c | 19.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…b459backed No | 74c | 19.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x901e…7389backed No | 70c | 19.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Yes | 71c | 19.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 76c | 17.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1,367 | 69.2%946 W · 421 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c25…2180backed No | 71c | 17.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.