MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60ddfe40642d054aab8a9519217c60a532a893b75f1ce44ea8a7d97a0b9a2d85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 75,336$17,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,568.4 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 23,299$5,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,340.15 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 19,582$9,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,106.14 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 17,608$7,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,692.85 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 13,979$5,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,881.63 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 13,789$8,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,825 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 9,173$5,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,779 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 80c | 8,982$7,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 6,945$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,445.07 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 3,847$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.73 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 3,388$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.55 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 3,000$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.1 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 2,631$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.57 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 2,600$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 2,400$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 2,192$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.96 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 1,661$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.83 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,486$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.45 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 1,320$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.37 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 1,073$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.05 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 1,030$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.11 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 993.28$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.7 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 888.88$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 389 | 56.8%221 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 5c | 827.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…d177backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 674.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.88 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 11c | 599.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 593$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.59 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…20f6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 510.42$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 477.42$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 432$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.16 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 407.75$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 398$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.8 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 352.7$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.62 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 350.43$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 343.65$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.95 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 317.22$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.02 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…4245backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 308.21$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 299.96$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.98 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 288.93$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.03 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 273$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.92 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bde…e51dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 256.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.76 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 215.36$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 211.64$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.52 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x546b…1582backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 190$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 172.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 172.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 170$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 169.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 160$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 159.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3522…31a8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 169 | 62.7%106 W · 63 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 158$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 156$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 153.85$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.46 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 151.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…9f18backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 148.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…3fedbacked Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 148.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 142.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e3…31c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 101 | 69.3%70 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 121.53$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 120.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 103$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 98.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 96.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 90.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 89.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Cincinnati Reds | 72c | 86.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 273 | 52%142 W · 131 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 84.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 530 | 55.8%296 W · 234 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbae…9720backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 73.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 73.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 70.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 70.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 64.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 589 | 38.9%229 W · 360 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 62.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 61.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-6.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.