MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0fd866b6a61bb35d35ad987e1193e01b8606afc7dc8643520ffe419860d305d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Washington Nationals, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 14c | 9,901$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.31 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Nationals | 0c | 5,250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 4,650$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.47 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 4,344$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.29 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Washington Nationals | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 9c | 2,448$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.06 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Nationals | 13c | 2,320$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Washington Nationals | 9c | 1,925$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 8c | 1,873$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 1,576$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.24 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Washington Nationals | 24c | 1,525$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 251 | 53%133 W · 118 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 1,124$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.79 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Washington Nationals | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Washington Nationals | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 774.51$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.99 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 650.62$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.73 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 7c | 610.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Washington Nationals | 10c | 606.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 282 | 45.7%129 W · 153 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Nationals | 14c | 553.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Washington Nationals | 13c | 499.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 6c | 494.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 442.97$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.47 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 409.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Miami Marlins | 66c | 407.08$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.41 | 164 | 39%64 W · 100 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Washington Nationals | 12c | 382.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 212 | 33.5%71 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Nationals | 17c | 340.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 330.3$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 302.17$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.82 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 251 | 47%118 W · 133 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 190$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Washington Nationals | 9c | 181.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 356 | 58.1%207 W · 149 L | +26.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Washington Nationals | 9c | 177.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 171.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 170$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 1,221 | 43.4%530 W · 691 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 164.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Washington Nationals | 12c | 161.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 1,326 | 44%583 W · 743 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 277 | 57%158 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Miami Marlins | 64c | 153.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 152.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…20f6backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 151.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5735…9f18backed Miami Marlins | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 134$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…f25abacked Washington Nationals | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Washington Nationals | 9c | 124.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 107.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,293 | 43.5%562 W · 731 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 99.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 95.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Washington Nationals | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 79.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 542 | 55.9%303 W · 239 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…4f71backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 77.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 671 | 52.5%352 W · 319 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 595 | 34.5%205 W · 390 L | -22.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…a226backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 56.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 404 | 56.2%227 W · 177 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Washington Nationals | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…1a7bbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 51.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 671 | 43.2%290 W · 381 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 48.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b6…f6dfbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 46.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 292 | 41.4%121 W · 171 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…832dbacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…0b95backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…d012backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e28…625cbacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 227 | 62.1%141 W · 86 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…5047backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 26.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 25.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 25.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc020…5edbbacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 257 | 52.9%136 W · 121 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27fd…5d22backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 20.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…686fbacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb4…f89dbacked Miami Marlins | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 78 | 97.4%76 W · 2 L | +20.1wins | +0.26per pick | 72cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.