MLB · resolved market

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5af5a85da78e14e828e69b1caae695ccef18808a457ae4080efa98a49ac9877f

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Miami Marlinsof Washington Nationals, Miami Marlins
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $466,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $465,627

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,614 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins	56c	111,110$61,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,443.94	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Miami Marlins	58c	75,216$43,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,590.56	469	49%230 W · 239 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Washington Nationals	42c	60,000$25,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,200	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Washington Nationals	32c	40,055$12,729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,728.63	96	39.6%38 W · 58 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals	43c	26,926$11,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,465.4	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Washington Nationals	42c	23,139$9,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,718.52	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals	50c	20,667$10,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,257.44	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins	67c	20,207$13,596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,610.85	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0972…82aabacked Washington Nationals	0c	19,748$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.35	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…ce20backed Miami Marlins	61c	19,743$11,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,777.26	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals	41c	19,250$7,893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,892.5	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals	41c	15,000$6,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,164.98	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals	40c	12,855$5,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,179.36	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins	58c	10,255$5,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,336.64	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Washington Nationals	5c	10,016$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.95	158	51.9%82 W · 76 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe963…6753backed Washington Nationals	41c	8,106$3,323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,323.4	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Miami Marlins	59c	7,500$4,425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,075	489	52.8%258 W · 231 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Washington Nationals	29c	7,350$2,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,131.5	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Miami Marlins	31c	4,484$1,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,093.87	435	54%235 W · 200 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals	40c	4,428$1,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,781.56	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed Washington Nationals	7c	3,571$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Nationals	24c	3,495$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$844.44	794	42.4%337 W · 457 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Miami Marlins	37c	3,367$1,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,104.4	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals	31c	3,226$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Washington Nationals	42c	2,930$1,231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,230.6	195	34.4%67 W · 128 L	-9.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Washington Nationals	41c	2,617$1,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,081.61	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked Washington Nationals	59c	2,382$1,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,396	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Miami Marlins	58c	2,365$1,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$993.36	179	61.5%110 W · 69 L	+16.7wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Washington Nationals	12c	2,192$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.06	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked Washington Nationals	41c	2,000$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820	171	50.3%86 W · 85 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Washington Nationals	40c	1,821$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.38	127	59.1%75 W · 52 L	+9.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Washington Nationals	41c	1,764$723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$723.09	452	52.4%237 W · 215 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins	71c	1,620$1,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.06	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals	42c	1,513$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.34	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Washington Nationals	34c	1,488$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals	42c	1,430$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.06	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals	42c	1,387$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.57	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Washington Nationals	19c	1,280$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.99	132	25%33 W · 99 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Washington Nationals	41c	1,176$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.16	707	44.7%316 W · 391 L	-22.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Miami Marlins	61c	1,114$679 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.28	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Washington Nationals	68c	1,022$691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691.2	254	47.6%121 W · 133 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Washington Nationals	39c	1,002$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.98	272	44.9%122 W · 150 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Washington Nationals	41c	1,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Washington Nationals	41c	1,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	306	47.4%145 W · 161 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Washington Nationals	41c	1,000$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	290	46.6%135 W · 155 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals	47c	930.31$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.84	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins	62c	819.08$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.81	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Washington Nationals	42c	787$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.54	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Miami Marlins	68c	704.22$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.91	102	49%50 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafef…f50ebacked Washington Nationals	28c	674$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.61	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Washington Nationals	33c	664.24$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.52	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8421…4e30backed Miami Marlins	57c	600$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256	90	36.7%33 W · 57 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Washington Nationals	46c	588.52$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.18	1,056	44.3%468 W · 588 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Washington Nationals	41c	526.06$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.05	920	46%423 W · 497 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea53…e1ebbacked Washington Nationals	42c	509.52$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Washington Nationals	42c	501$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.75	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Miami Marlins	59c	500$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205	111	50.5%56 W · 55 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked Washington Nationals	41c	500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	138	48.6%67 W · 71 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Washington Nationals	42c	476$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.92	1,137	46.3%526 W · 611 L	+36.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…9565backed Miami Marlins	74c	470.39$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.07	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Miami Marlins	65c	460.74$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.56	799	55.9%447 W · 352 L	+21.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4cf…0e95backed Miami Marlins	45c	460$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.4	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Nationals	21c	420.35$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.53	2,012	51.2%1,031 W · 981 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Miami Marlins	64c	410.13$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.94	486	60.5%294 W · 192 L	+40.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Nationals	32c	403.63$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.38	851	48.5%413 W · 438 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2465…5d84backed Washington Nationals	75c	397$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.75	1,100	79.6%876 W · 224 L	+32.7wins	+0.03per pick	77cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Washington Nationals	24c	370$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.51	272	31.3%85 W · 187 L	-13.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05b2…953bbacked Miami Marlins	60c	341$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.3	109	41.3%45 W · 64 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x018e…5c3dbacked Washington Nationals	42c	338.08$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.99	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Washington Nationals	39c	330$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.39	520	53.8%280 W · 240 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Washington Nationals	42c	317.58$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.38	589	43.1%254 W · 335 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Washington Nationals	40c	301.86$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Washington Nationals	20c	300.63$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab7…6978backed Washington Nationals	40c	300$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	146	43.2%63 W · 83 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Washington Nationals	42c	292.86$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	151	53%80 W · 71 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Washington Nationals	42c	283.21$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.95	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-6.3wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Miami Marlins	43c	250$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Washington Nationals	41c	250$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	242	46.7%113 W · 129 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Washington Nationals	42c	242.16$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.59	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Washington Nationals	47c	237.05$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.74	1,206	53.7%648 W · 558 L	+29.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins	80c	236.47$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.37	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x003f…3805backed Miami Marlins	59c	223.32$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.56	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Washington Nationals	45c	207.6$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.95	252	48.8%123 W · 129 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Washington Nationals	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	3,291	46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L	+20.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac5…57a0backed Washington Nationals	40c	199.99$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+3.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Miami Marlins	66c	192.56$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.87	400	48.5%194 W · 206 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins	62c	190$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.2	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Washington Nationals	41c	182$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.62	450	45.8%206 W · 244 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals	44c	181.7$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.67	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Washington Nationals	38c	178.3$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.72	603	48.6%293 W · 310 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe419…8aedbacked Miami Marlins	59c	167.79$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.15	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Washington Nationals	55c	165.41$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.61	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Miami Marlins	65c	163.89$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.64	1,141	42.9%490 W · 651 L	-37.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Miami Marlins	58c	154.16$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.43	497	62.2%309 W · 188 L	+38.4wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad54…006abacked Washington Nationals	46c	147.02$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.63	580	60.5%351 W · 229 L	+30.9wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x508f…775fbacked Miami Marlins	58c	147.02$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.02	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+3.2wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals	36c	145.19$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.81	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals	8c	145$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.35	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bde…e51dbacked Washington Nationals	42c	142.86$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41cf…8268backed Miami Marlins	60c	133.33$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.33	118	61%72 W · 46 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 3.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Over won
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Under won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Miami MarlinsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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