Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open: Madison Keys vs Xiyu Wang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21c5344608988eb6c3e5d6f9082d3bfb353fa963171363754e6d2ff3c0d0533f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Madison Keysof Madison Keys, Xiyu Wang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Xiyu Wang | 15c | 30,762$4,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,670.92 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Xiyu Wang | 0c | 29,032$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Xiyu Wang | 44c | 20,000$8,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,769.06 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Xiyu Wang | 17c | 12,573$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.6 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Madison Keys | 62c | 12,219$7,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,591.48 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Madison Keys | 79c | 10,138$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.24 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8713…196bbacked Xiyu Wang | 22c | 9,091$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.97 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Xiyu Wang | 40c | 6,507$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.1 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Madison Keys | 75c | 5,864$4,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.71 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Xiyu Wang | 3c | 5,689$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.96 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Madison Keys | 66c | 5,114$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.68 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +9.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Xiyu Wang | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Madison Keys | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Madison Keys | 64c | 3,658$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.61 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Madison Keys | 78c | 3,500$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Xiyu Wang | 13c | 3,470$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.32 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Xiyu Wang | 27c | 3,109$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.64 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Madison Keys | 79c | 3,085$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.63 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Xiyu Wang | 6c | 2,833$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.95 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b5c0backed Xiyu Wang | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Madison Keys | 77c | 2,302$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.28 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Xiyu Wang | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…9a05backed Xiyu Wang | 37c | 2,104$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Madison Keys | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Xiyu Wang | 34c | 1,764$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.53 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Madison Keys | 72c | 1,677$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.67 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…eadebacked Xiyu Wang | 4c | 1,640$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Madison Keys | 57c | 1,412$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.53 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Madison Keys | 72c | 1,269$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.52 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3957…35f0backed Madison Keys | 78c | 1,257$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.47 | 173 | 72.3%125 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Madison Keys | 64c | 1,256$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.74 | 244 | 59.4%145 W · 99 L | +21.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Xiyu Wang | 38c | 1,250$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Xiyu Wang | 45c | 1,234$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.27 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Xiyu Wang | 23c | 1,106$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.38 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Madison Keys | 77c | 989.87$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.67 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Madison Keys | 77c | 974$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.02 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Xiyu Wang | 6c | 851.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Madison Keys | 70c | 805.67$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.67 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Xiyu Wang | 23c | 750$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Xiyu Wang | 27c | 740.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d33…28a3backed Xiyu Wang | 12c | 614.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…e49fbacked Xiyu Wang | 12c | 593.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Xiyu Wang | 23c | 560.94$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.02 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Madison Keys | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Xiyu Wang | 27c | 481.48$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 302 | 35.4%107 W · 195 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Madison Keys | 61c | 403.87$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.99 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Madison Keys | 72c | 370.75$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda09…6d3fbacked Xiyu Wang | 12c | 341.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Madison Keys | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Xiyu Wang | 23c | 304.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…1b12backed Madison Keys | 78c | 294.87$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Xiyu Wang | 33c | 289.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Xiyu Wang | 19c | 270$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Xiyu Wang | 26c | 266.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Xiyu Wang | 22c | 259.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…f50bbacked Madison Keys | 78c | 241.36$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Xiyu Wang | 42c | 235.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Madison Keys | 76c | 231.71$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…51edbacked Madison Keys | 78c | 222.77$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Madison Keys | 78c | 222$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…1b50backed Xiyu Wang | 24c | 210.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Xiyu Wang | 21c | 200.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Xiyu Wang | 22c | 199.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 187 | 24.6%46 W · 141 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Madison Keys | 77c | 184$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Madison Keys | 65c | 181.97$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Madison Keys | 69c | 180.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Xiyu Wang | 20c | 180$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Xiyu Wang | 14c | 176$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Xiyu Wang | 21c | 171.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed Madison Keys | 65c | 158.46$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 242 | 31%75 W · 167 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…f891backed Madison Keys | 75c | 156.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 276 | 67%185 W · 91 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…d5e9backed Madison Keys | 78c | 152.56$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Madison Keys | 67c | 152.51$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Xiyu Wang | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Madison Keys | 61c | 148.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Xiyu Wang | 7c | 139.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Madison Keys | 77c | 135.44$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Madison Keys | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Madison Keys | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 158 | 56.3%89 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…21d2backed Madison Keys | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…8132backed Madison Keys | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…f856backed Madison Keys | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Madison Keys | 61c | 122.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…30f2backed Xiyu Wang | 36c | 117.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a0…7513backed Xiyu Wang | 32c | 115.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…fbb3backed Xiyu Wang | 34c | 110.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Xiyu Wang | 17c | 100.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Xiyu Wang | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Madison Keys | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Xiyu Wang | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…c9a0backed Madison Keys | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 115 | 67%77 W · 38 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Xiyu Wang | 22c | 99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Xiyu Wang | 11c | 97.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 144 | 15.3%22 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Xiyu Wang | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Xiyu Wang | 15c | 91.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Madison Keys | 77c | 81.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Xiyu Wang | 23c | 80.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Xiyu Wang | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…0874backed Madison Keys | 79c | 79.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Xiyu Wang | 23c | 78.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Open: Madison Keys vs Xiyu Wangthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Keys vs WangKeys won
- Set 2 Winner: Keys vs WangKeys won
- Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Wang (+1.5)Keys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.