MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee174151b71c1de71018510e61757528eb0b2dad0e3a881304e1a65e18af2b40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 48,571$34,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,316.23 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 30,914$13,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,292.83 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 30,640$7,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,047.11 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 15,711$7,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,698.51 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 15,507$9,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,124.29 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 13,200$4,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,884 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 10,990$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186.02 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.93 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 7,500$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…f5e6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 0c | 6,600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 5,540$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.52 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 17c | 3,851$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.01 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 70c | 2,878$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.93 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 69c | 2,805$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.46 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022c…5ef0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,960$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.74 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,744$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,695$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.94 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,138$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.72 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,116$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.28 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,091$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.87 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,052$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.18 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Chicago Cubs | 74c | 1,013$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.48 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 796.35$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 773.66$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.41 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 715.37$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.61 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…fbb3backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 595.67$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 563.73$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 80c | 467.22$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 465$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 446.96$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.57 | 292 | 51%149 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Chicago Cubs | 75c | 443.12$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.06 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked Chicago Cubs | 68c | 399.98$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Chicago Cubs | 74c | 391.43$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 387$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 382.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 332.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 316$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.41 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 309.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 290.4$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.87 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…409ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 315 | 49.2%155 W · 160 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Cubs | 80c | 196.54$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 195$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 192.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 187.78$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9237…9c99backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 183.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 180.59$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…b262backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 169$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…38bfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…02cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 145.4$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 139.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 129.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 127.04$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 497 | 62.2%309 W · 188 L | +38.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 125.28$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 119.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 116.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 116.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 112.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 278 | 52.2%145 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…df87backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 96.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…0f04backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 95.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…f4dabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 83.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…6580backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 530 | 55.8%296 W · 234 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 79.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…2b2cbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 71.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 63.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…2a95backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 56.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Chicago Cubs | 72c | 55.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…8aacbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 51.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 655 | 42.4%278 W · 377 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd233…14f3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f3…c5c0backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 45.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 767 | 52.3%401 W · 366 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.