Chess · resolved market
Will India win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7d1c724d213c0306b5499887e95197800f52666820dbb22862150095c3b156b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Yes | 70c | 2,005$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67aa…30a6backed Yes | 78c | 1,960$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 32c | 1,785$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…7f87backed No | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,259$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.08 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 73c | 1,032$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 65c | 1,010$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.49 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Yes | 31c | 970.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.53 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 52c | 754.78$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.7 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…05b5backed Yes | 34c | 716.25$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…9504backed No | 27c | 700$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…5701backed Yes | 54c | 560.62$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x390d…350bbacked Yes | 36c | 500$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a1…5d25backed No | 15c | 494.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…2b79backed No | 37c | 437.21$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2710…a28fbacked Yes | 65c | 434.59$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…0039backed No | 12c | 413.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…fd6dbacked Yes | 78c | 409.69$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…1988backed Yes | 32c | 359.68$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1459…ab65backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…c3f5backed Yes | 61c | 312.72$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd07b…3692backed Yes | 69c | 304$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 30c | 301.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.95 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…73ccbacked No | 64c | 300$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.18 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed No | 69c | 276.39$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 49c | 275.23$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.05 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -10.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked No | 39c | 253.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 40c | 248.19$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.77 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Yes | 78c | 213$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…5039backed No | 74c | 200$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked No | 16c | 199.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…bab4backed Yes | 36c | 170$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked Yes | 35c | 164.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…07c4backed Yes | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…0d37backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7a…65a6backed Yes | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa7…50a5backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…a555backed No | 10c | 142.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…d0eabacked No | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…1c5bbacked No | 11c | 135.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…1f51backed Yes | 43c | 128$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d6…0b9cbacked Yes | 73c | 118.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…33c1backed No | 69c | 101$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…00d8backed Yes | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…f52abacked Yes | 69c | 86.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed Yes | 30c | 85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +82%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…0aa1backed Yes | 39c | 77.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 58c | 72.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -79%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 69c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed Yes | 62c | 62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6c…287fbacked No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked No | 57c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…d3b0backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…9052backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fe…1d08backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646d…d31fbacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…165abacked No | 58c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 25c | 44.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…92aebacked Yes | 52c | 39.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed13…494dbacked Yes | 30c | 38.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 50c | 34.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…8c13backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…328bbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…8728backed Yes | 38c | 28.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…8911backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e19…9ce5backed Yes | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…928bbacked Yes | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cf…dbe7backed Yes | 77c | 16.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will India win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?this page
- Will China win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will England win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will Germany win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will Iran win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will Norway win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will Poland win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will another team win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will the United States win the 2024 Chess Olympiad?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.