Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e45bb6acdd718600e01c3a509b8ea305d2468d695622c26c366f39eb85d5755
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40fd…eff0backed No | 59c | 118,521$69,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,927.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…509cbacked Yes | 41c | 118,521$48,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,927.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 30c | 5,436$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.21 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 58c | 2,683$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.9 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…434cbacked No | 8c | 2,644$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed No | 60c | 1,534$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 40c | 1,389$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.29 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 40c | 1,260$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 60c | 833$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef2…8a53backed Yes | 67c | 576.94$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Yes | 40c | 535.79$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.4 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 23c | 505.24$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.47 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 18c | 504.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 58c | 450$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 72c | 444$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked No | 61c | 400.16$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.1 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 58c | 399.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.99 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x020f…8357backed Yes | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665a…174ebacked Yes | 41c | 321.56$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc560…1fc1backed No | 60c | 320$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 30c | 291.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.08 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked No | 58c | 285$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Yes | 43c | 233.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…4981backed Yes | 42c | 196$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64dc…ad9ebacked No | 58c | 196$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 61c | 164.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…72eabacked No | 59c | 153.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…6a4ebacked Yes | 42c | 135.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 58c | 124.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Yes | 42c | 118.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c2…a2e9backed No | 56c | 108$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cb…9bd6backed Yes | 42c | 104.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d0…b2f5backed Yes | 44c | 102$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9528…8c40backed No | 59c | 85.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…a32abacked No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dea…b166backed Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e34…ab91backed No | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…2d78backed Yes | 42c | 66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a1…e323backed No | 58c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…1ab7backed Yes | 42c | 65.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 38c | 60.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882d…5e65backed Yes | 44c | 59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…de9cbacked No | 56c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…9376backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…ca42backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…e97cbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 57c | 44.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…c2babacked Yes | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…50c4backed No | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b8…0085backed Yes | 44c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 55c | 39.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee24…3702backed No | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…6000backed No | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…fd64backed Yes | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…dc61backed Yes | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf577…1953backed No | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…1c06backed Yes | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…bc17backed No | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 59c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5d…79d1backed No | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d42…1bfcbacked Yes | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…f18bbacked Yes | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0899…6284backed No | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63e…2191backed Yes | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…d017backed Yes | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…a604backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…3f84backed No | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe723…50e5backed No | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…864abacked No | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4e…2809backed No | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…060dbacked No | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-03-06?this page
- Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Olympiakos Piraeus end in a draw?No won
- Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-03-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.