Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0efeb50e72e2a82f728ad659f9a72511b805d6837495d3a1319ac3fcf3f07ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 69c | 4,333$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.76 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 31c | 3,185$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -61%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 68c | 988.5$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.75 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes | 4c | 965.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 32c | 757$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…9338backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…15dcbacked Yes | 33c | 605.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 31c | 554.05$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 427.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.39 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…c8c7backed Yes | 33c | 384.91$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…2cd2backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Yes | 32c | 315.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 30c | 270.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Yes | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 32c | 156.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…c3f3backed No | 71c | 141$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 69c | 139.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3c…6c22backed Yes | 29c | 126$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…6e2bbacked Yes | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3627…882cbacked Yes | 29c | 76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…8ed4backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +86%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…06c9backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f2…590bbacked Yes | 29c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 69c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91a…976dbacked Yes | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 67c | 51.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 33c | 51.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed No | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380e…1dd1backed Yes | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…353fbacked Yes | 31c | 47.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 29c | 46.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7da1…5edfbacked Yes | 29c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…d1bebacked Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Yes | 32c | 43.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Yes | 48c | 41.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…dbd9backed No | 71c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d9…8d56backed Yes | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a40…7cd9backed Yes | 33c | 37.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 31c | 37.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…0878backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cae…4db7backed No | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38a…7bf0backed No | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…8225backed No | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…0cbbbacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…be36backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…91e4backed No | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…060dbacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f19…d72fbacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd240…2767backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd84…b771backed No | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936d…aea3backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…2240backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…3567backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a3…f21ebacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…3ceebacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…eea0backed No | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed5…dbbfbacked No | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4321…e614backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-03-06?this page
- Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Olympiakos Piraeus end in a draw?No won
- Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-03-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.