World Politics · resolved market
Starmer out before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1997b3a88f85dfa1e838748cb5a00e082871276d8c057a7fa63cef88121a8f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,371,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,671,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,371,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 8c | 112,380$9,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,238.94 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 13c | 99,419$13,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,355.34 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…d5b7backed Yes | 2c | 81,506$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23d…b77abacked Yes | 5c | 59,787$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…f838backed Yes | 13c | 30,538$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…819ebacked Yes | 3c | 28,845$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Yes | 5c | 25,281$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…0f4ebacked Yes | 12c | 24,292$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…51fdbacked Yes | 16c | 21,620$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 1c | 11,000$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…b59dbacked Yes | 16c | 10,574$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…a1cebacked Yes | 14c | 10,228$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…1b90backed Yes | 14c | 8,529$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 1c | 7,791$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.07 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…d128backed Yes | 3c | 6,822$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 6,394$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.87 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…e832backed Yes | 14c | 5,598$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes | 15c | 5,395$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c2…ca7cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,158$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…78c2backed Yes | 15c | 5,014$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.18 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f1…5069backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…45b1backed Yes | 12c | 4,830$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…6a1cbacked Yes | 10c | 4,798$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.61 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…204fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,370$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 3,755$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…d515backed Yes | 8c | 3,448$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…0d55backed Yes | 2c | 3,359$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 5c | 3,217$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…28d5backed Yes | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3b…5a88backed Yes | 14c | 2,856$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dc…2216backed Yes | 2c | 2,828$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 13c | 2,800$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 2,601$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9429…1f8dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,483$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x179a…88d8backed Yes | 15c | 2,183$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd01…b0f4backed Yes | 2c | 1,872$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 6c | 1,800$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…012bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,780$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…28a7backed Yes | 15c | 1,702$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,525$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Yes | 13c | 1,332$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…ae05backed Yes | 15c | 1,277$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 1c | 1,258$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,141$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…5fd7backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 6c | 1,061$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,044$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.74 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3371…5871backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…f445backed Yes | 13c | 958.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0616…219ebacked Yes | 14c | 863.86$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 11c | 817.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e55…2b2abacked Yes | 6c | 788$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 14c | 773.42$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc032…6668backed Yes | 7c | 766.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…b395backed Yes | 3c | 756.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 5c | 751.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48a…67dabacked Yes | 12c | 728.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc6…c602backed Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 3c | 674$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…4e44backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5f…4b4cbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 8c | 666$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec2a…81c1backed Yes | 2c | 616.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…641fbacked Yes | 2c | 609.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 589.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…4ab0backed Yes | 14c | 571.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 10c | 550$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 113 | 1.8%2 W · 111 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d6…0489backed Yes | 10c | 530$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f2…9b39backed Yes | 4c | 527.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…06aebacked Yes | 4c | 526.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 523.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed Yes | 13c | 499.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 13c | 450$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…022dbacked Yes | 18c | 448.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80fe…5659backed Yes | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc0…64eebacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 12c | 400$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…4693backed Yes | 5c | 392.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…8bf7backed Yes | 13c | 384.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…37f4backed Yes | 14c | 384.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b1…cdcfbacked Yes | 11c | 377.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 13c | 362.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…25e4backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…c7d4backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…60c0backed Yes | 14c | 354.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e31…2840backed Yes | 4c | 345$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…339cbacked Yes | 15c | 340$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…acb6backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0007…434ebacked Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…6e36backed Yes | 4c | 331$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…7fb1backed Yes | 4c | 327.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…0d5ebacked Yes | 14c | 313.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…1e5dbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…f3cbbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.