Europa Conference League · resolved market
UEFA Europa League: Lyon vs. Man United (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac2a3f9df697d464839d028cbf6e20dc038f74b36e256230073fd6d08deb1d6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Man Unitedof Lyon, Man United
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3550…68b6backed Lyon | 2c | 4,394$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Lyon | 34c | 2,148$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.66 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Man United | 69c | 1,850$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.5 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Man United | 21c | 1,459$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Lyon | 34c | 1,119$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.24 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…d9e8backed Man United | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…834bbacked Man United | 60c | 940$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…865bbacked Man United | 61c | 940$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d0…b336backed Man United | 60c | 835$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Lyon | 36c | 746.47$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.36 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8c…f075backed Lyon | 41c | 730$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4311…af56backed Man United | 59c | 640$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…feecbacked Lyon | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc532…3b9dbacked Man United | 69c | 619.13$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb462…d158backed Lyon | 34c | 618.52$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Man United | 80c | 616.54$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.08 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…ac75backed Man United | 23c | 463.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…d60ebacked Man United | 16c | 450$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +533.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…9398backed Lyon | 29c | 443.33$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…28ddbacked Man United | 71c | 425.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef6…dc43backed Lyon | 39c | 405$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d2…9f1abacked Lyon | 16c | 390.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Lyon | 31c | 356.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d06…d484backed Lyon | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Man United | 30c | 330$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Lyon | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Man United | 71c | 282.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Man United | 8c | 281.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.31 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Lyon | 26c | 276.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…812bbacked Lyon | 42c | 265$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc14…e34cbacked Lyon | 40c | 265$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe186…6364backed Lyon | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Lyon | 39c | 249.73$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…162abacked Lyon | 39c | 240$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…b1b4backed Lyon | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Lyon | 39c | 229.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Man United | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…ed6bbacked Man United | 59c | 185$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Man United | 60c | 179.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1f…896bbacked Man United | 59c | 175$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…90fdbacked Lyon | 41c | 170$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Lyon | 32c | 169.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…3a54backed Lyon | 42c | 155$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb3…da37backed Lyon | 40c | 155$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa911…9f8abacked Lyon | 42c | 155$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb4…e810backed Lyon | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…c378backed Man United | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488b…9fdcbacked Lyon | 39c | 140$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b86…53d7backed Man United | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d62…f8eabacked Lyon | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…7123backed Lyon | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c84…a0f3backed Lyon | 33c | 122.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…6a27backed Lyon | 31c | 117.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Man United | 67c | 105.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…e5d0backed Man United | 60c | 105$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Man United | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…2ec9backed Lyon | 39c | 95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…6584backed Lyon | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…95fcbacked Lyon | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…7815backed Lyon | 42c | 85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f03…466dbacked Lyon | 39c | 83.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Man United | 62c | 80.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3075…9143backed Lyon | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Man United | 25c | 74.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…bb18backed Lyon | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…3cbebacked Lyon | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Man United | 62c | 48.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…0e08backed Man United | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4540…d61abacked Man United | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d79…f0d8backed Man United | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Lyon | 37c | 40.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Man United | 68c | 39.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…d43bbacked Man United | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a82…18cdbacked Man United | 70c | 34.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…88a6backed Man United | 70c | 32.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9d…0791backed Lyon | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…7a9bbacked Lyon | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…8114backed Man United | 68c | 29.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…d46dbacked Man United | 68c | 27.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Man United | 57c | 27.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1d…9a9bbacked Lyon | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa345…55afbacked Lyon | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fb43backed Lyon | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf640…bf7ebacked Lyon | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7364…d44ebacked Man United | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…75f4backed Man United | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.