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Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-08-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$291,455
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$294,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,455 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86da…6428backed Yes63c126,394$79,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,765.71040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No37c79,010$29,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,233.73647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No37c43,489$16,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,056.041662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+51.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No36c28,571$10,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,285.532433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes63c27,426$17,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,147.761338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No30c25,324$7,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,475.792,57945.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L+12.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes64c12,500$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50011453.5%61 W · 53 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No12c11,615$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.592,02339.4%798 W · 1,225 L-10.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes70c10,894$7,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,294.7436827.4%101 W · 267 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,600683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3328…e6b8backed No26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+111.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No38c4,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.993966.7%26 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No37c2,892$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5af6…842ebacked Yes63c2,778$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes69c2,263$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.5838039.7%151 W · 229 L+1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No37c2,219$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.037028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No37c1,959$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.7444654.7%244 W · 202 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No36c1,785$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.867856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes63c1,523$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.516858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes78c1,416$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.13250%16 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes61c1,250$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.492035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes62c1,200$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.9823051.7%119 W · 111 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No36c1,029$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.3912857%73 W · 55 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3708624.4%21 W · 65 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No35c988.62$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.453231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No37c935.18$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.4341253.2%219 W · 193 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No24c925.33$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.2955038.9%214 W · 336 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x811e…ce09backed Yes64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No26c730.77$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No8c692.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No38c663.16$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No37c650.29$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.621241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes63c646.93$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.3611636.2%42 W · 74 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No36c638.26$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.771650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No15c637.24$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8151349.3%253 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No14c591.48$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0214846.6%69 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db8…0ed7backed Yes75c548.11$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No34c540$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.926936.2%25 W · 44 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes55c512$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.48864.8%57 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No45c512$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.44562.2%28 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No39c510.84$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.236368.3%43 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b03…b127backed No20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No24c499.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-39.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No34c465.17$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.983938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes76c430.43$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8341841.1%172 W · 246 L-1.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No37c401.89$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3734852.9%184 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed No58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2321546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No17c379.01$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7524846.4%115 W · 133 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbc6…0018backed Yes77c363.64$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.64757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No26c350$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.181435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes63c309.37$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Yes63c305.49$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.032867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x90fc…064fbacked Yes63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1112962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No36c275.76$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.326523.1%15 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed No37c275$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed No61c261.98$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.812035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed No38c253.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.171050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No12c250.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.686136.1%22 W · 39 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.51942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac36…b1e1backed No38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No37c245.03$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6629351.5%151 W · 142 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed No21c238.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed No20c225$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452751.9%14 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+49.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b23…6b2bbacked No36c220$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes63c206.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.354050%20 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…ae3dbacked No37c201.77$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Yes76c197.05$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.291788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick66cpaid+34.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed No37c181.92$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.312825%7 W · 21 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes69c178.65$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.257356.2%41 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Yes64c174$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No37c169.74$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.749758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No37c165.59$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.272343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked No37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601520%3 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-56.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfbc…f42bbacked Yes63c157.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes49c154.08$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.028046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes64c153$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.154447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909053.3%48 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No29c137.35$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2923743.5%103 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes63c134.92$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.921145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12e7…39a0backed No36c128.71$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3440%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfac0…de7cbacked Yes76c126.54$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No37c123.89$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8467553.8%363 W · 312 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No27c120.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.75825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-61.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No37c120.23$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1843955.4%243 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed No36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.22254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed No37c110$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Yes62c109.28$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Yes77c109.2$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.093135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No53c109.17$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68aa…0f92backed Yes64c103.13$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379561.1%58 W · 37 L+9.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0270…5a30backed Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+46.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No39c98.13$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2732959%194 W · 135 L+28.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No26c93.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9618924.9%47 W · 142 L-20.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes80c90$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No21c88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.242138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed No38c86.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.