Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9192ff01e3daa8396991947a1fd21aba639c982eb25b6155d78d630ace516eac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 5,895$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.21 | 2,023 | 39.4%798 W · 1,225 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 1c | 3,603$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 368 | 27.4%101 W · 267 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 8c | 1,563$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.33 | 380 | 39.7%151 W · 229 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Yes | 15c | 1,495$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d22…2bafbacked Yes | 3c | 1,162$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 6c | 936$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 2c | 796.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 513 | 49.3%253 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 659.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 2,579 | 45.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 13c | 477.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 418 | 41.1%172 W · 246 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…2ee6backed Yes | 6c | 377$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…dbbfbacked Yes | 4c | 372.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 16c | 194.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 19c | 175.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 10c | 138.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 237 | 43.5%103 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 15c | 138$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes | 15c | 133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 19c | 124.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 19c | 124.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 11c | 118.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 14c | 110.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 15c | 77.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4847…a7a2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 20c | 51.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-08-23?this page
- Will Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-08-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.