Serie A · resolved market
Will Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5ef332d51c523ab22720ba98144a83bc763d6bcb93f5252dc9a39da24499426
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 11,770$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.51 | 2,579 | 45.6%1,175 W · 1,404 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 4,296$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.14 | 2,023 | 39.4%798 W · 1,225 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 22c | 3,404$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.21 | 368 | 27.4%101 W · 267 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…a061backed No | 78c | 2,156$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 79c | 1,276$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.96 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 78c | 1,023$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.1 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 412 | 53.2%219 W · 193 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 22c | 999.92$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 348 | 52.9%184 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 987$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 446 | 54.7%244 W · 202 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 78c | 890.92$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 77c | 677.54$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.83 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 17c | 525.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 237 | 43.5%103 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…9c34backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 21c | 497.27$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed No | 78c | 432.56$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 78c | 432.56$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 79c | 420$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 22c | 397.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 22c | 365.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 295.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 720 | 50.1%361 W · 359 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 78c | 259.37$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 74c | 250.07$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 26c | 245.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 79c | 183.51$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 16c | 168.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 24c | 162.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 16c | 156.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 22c | 128$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 17c | 127$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 120.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 999 | 44.7%447 W · 552 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 22c | 98.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 675 | 53.8%363 W · 312 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 22c | 85.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 13c | 76.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 22c | 60.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 23c | 51.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 77c | 47.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 75c | 40.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 78c | 34.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 75cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 30.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 439 | 55.4%243 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…c5b1backed No | 78c | 23.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 75cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 78c | 13.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?this page
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-08-23?Yes won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-08-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.