F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15bd1619d43167e1140ec0233f603edaa4308b3dc65c33b8ec1d3a300e4b37ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 6,736$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 10c | 1,680$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +9.1wins | +0.35per pick | 38cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…7488backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed Yes | 11c | 536.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.01 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Yes | 42c | 338.17$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dd…af8bbacked Yes | 25c | 290$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…6470backed Yes | 12c | 266.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 13c | 226.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.41 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 30c | 166.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74da…ec2fbacked Yes | 12c | 136.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943d…4a7cbacked Yes | 10c | 122.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 23c | 105.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4f…f3c6backed No | 58c | 104$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d6…b5e7backed Yes | 26c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked No | 59c | 61.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18e7…ed30backed Yes | 18c | 59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…36bfbacked No | 74c | 55.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e7…7da3backed Yes | 78c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19f…008abacked Yes | 39c | 51.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 41c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…4cd4backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…f9d9backed Yes | 60c | 24.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…da31backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…4568backed Yes | 76c | 19.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 55c | 18.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lance Stroll finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.