F1 · resolved market
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x835e38deb26b18658e80a1405f3091681c64e318b06ab1eb04f20fbfca4a32a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 45c | 7,580$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed No | 49c | 3,490$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 51c | 3,040$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.55 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed No | 48c | 644.49$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 52c | 505.19$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.49 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +9.1wins | +0.35per pick | 38cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 43c | 162.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…9794backed Yes | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4117…7336backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…cc6cbacked Yes | 64c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb54…2c07backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…755cbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 80c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13ed…e878backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff9…eec4backed Yes | 54c | 36.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked Yes | 53c | 36.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked No | 45c | 32.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 43c | 28.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 39c | 26.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…c047backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lance Stroll finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.