Chess · resolved market
Will India win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ee1c9be7c2b88f97104e1d0cd88dbd912e42d8f67f01487446f179755aca5d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9ee…2c30backed Yes | 59c | 6,321$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 32c | 3,757$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.24 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…00d8backed Yes | 71c | 3,541$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 53c | 2,578$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.51 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 68c | 2,543$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes | 69c | 1,797$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Yes | 28c | 1,716$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 31c | 1,410$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.24 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 62c | 1,218$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691e…1a64backed No | 64c | 1,204$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 34c | 1,199$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 46c | 1,026$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.01 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…64f9backed Yes | 57c | 890.45$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 69c | 782.28$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.72 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…9504backed No | 37c | 700$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed No | 69c | 600$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 36c | 563.89$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.35 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 56c | 501.17$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Yes | 54c | 485.06$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a1…5d25backed No | 20c | 465.63$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…99e0backed Yes | 68c | 445.25$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 52c | 400.45$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.53 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 23c | 387.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…2b79backed No | 45c | 350.9$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…73ccbacked Yes | 42c | 350$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa939…adf2backed Yes | 31c | 323.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 42c | 315.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.35 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…0039backed No | 17c | 302.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768e…8f5fbacked Yes | 70c | 258.61$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Yes | 69c | 250$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 20c | 239.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Yes | 67c | 224.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 68c | 222$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 31c | 215.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 17c | 177.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked Yes | 77c | 177.53$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…5701backed Yes | 68c | 176.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 167.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -10.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 45c | 157$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 24c | 156.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Yes | 31c | 155.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +97%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 69c | 149.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked Yes | 66c | 136.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 30c | 130$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 32c | 125.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked No | 37c | 112$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…5039backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed13…494dbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…1b38backed No | 37c | 97.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 26c | 84.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439a…6aecbacked No | 75c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf473…34d3backed Yes | 39c | 51.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a76…6514backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646d…d31fbacked Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…06bbbacked Yes | 46c | 49.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 38c | 49.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Yes | 36c | 48.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked No | 75c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd8…15c9backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…c104backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3f…8b64backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…8c13backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked No | 59c | 37.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 75c | 36.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 30c | 35.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…ef21backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107f…c83fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…2adebacked Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…d409backed Yes | 53c | 20.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffdd…1029backed Yes | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will India win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?this page
- Will Armenia win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will China win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will Germany win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will Poland win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will Spain win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will Ukraine win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will another team win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will the United States win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.