Chess · resolved market
Will Georgia win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64f17b6655e2e89d9813aa69b3c313cf49764c5e6d0ba6e641f54c4ac595d431
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 26c | 6,636$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…d6ddbacked No | 74c | 5,333$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 13c | 4,677$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.87 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 18c | 2,360$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 74c | 2,116$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.73 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…2c30backed Yes | 23c | 1,417$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed No | 74c | 1,300$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed No | 74c | 1,276$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +97%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 25c | 1,050$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.57 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 74c | 1,031$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.17 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 27c | 941.75$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6b…a799backed No | 75c | 831$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.88 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 17c | 813$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 78c | 653$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed No | 77c | 596.01$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 16c | 524.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…64f9backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 22c | 311.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.21 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…f484backed Yes | 29c | 306.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…73ccbacked Yes | 24c | 253$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 250.72$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -10.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 27c | 222$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…33c1backed Yes | 28c | 208.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 79c | 187.88$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa939…adf2backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Yes | 26c | 146.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 24c | 145.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf7…712cbacked Yes | 27c | 145.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…5039backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439a…6aecbacked No | 74c | 99.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Yes | 16c | 88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 23c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…9f1ebacked No | 74c | 55.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 26c | 51.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed13…494dbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Georgia win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?this page
- Will Armenia win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will China win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will Germany win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will India win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?Yes won
- Will Poland win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will Spain win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will Ukraine win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will another team win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?No won
- Will the United States win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.