Movies · resolved market
Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 40 and 50?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae8b0fddb77f2d553534f447246206f5fbc0367a97f9936e0cb7826257bbedff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 76c | 728.09$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.65 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 39c | 706.73$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.49 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 65c | 625.86$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 50c | 547$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.28 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…838bbacked Yes | 20c | 541$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.8 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Yes | 57c | 388.79$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…9210backed Yes | 20c | 384$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.92 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 45c | 310.27$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9d…33ccbacked Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…013fbacked No | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…10a0backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…b081backed Yes | 57c | 249.43$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.34 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 21c | 221$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.59 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 38c | 181$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 10c | 180$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 22c | 180$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 45c | 179.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 30c | 147.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 68c | 130.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 30c | 118.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.77 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed No | 60c | 91.11$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 39c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 32c | 70.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…ace6backed Yes | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 67c | 42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…1a48backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…3213backed Yes | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 40 and 50?this page
- Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 30 and 40?No won
- Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50 and 60?No won
- Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 30?No won
- Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be more than 60?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.